L’École des cotes

Washington Nationals v Milwaukee Brewers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-03 17:36 UTC

Score final : Washington Nationals 3–2 Milwaukee Brewers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prévision 42.58%2.35cote équitable
EV +0.068%
Avantage +0.029%
Kelly +0.050%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.26%42.48%42.78%45.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.062.202.202.3548.54%45.38%45.45%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Milwaukee Brewers (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.42%1.74cote équitable
EV -0.667%
Avantage -0.386%
Kelly -0.914%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.88%57.52%57.22%59.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.681.681.7364.52%59.68%59.52%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.068%E +0.029%K +0.050%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.98%E -4.31%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:35
GTbets2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.784%E -0.336%K -0.589%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 17:15
BetOnline.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.64%E -0.708%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-03 17:15
LowVig.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.64%E -0.708%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-03 17:15
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-03 17:10
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 16:10
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.26%E -3.19%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 14:50
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.56%E -4.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:35
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.13%E -5.08%K -13.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 17:35
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.13%E -5.08%K -13.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 16:10
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -9.28%E -5.87%K -16.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 17:35
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -11.00%E -7.10%K -20.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 17:30
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.91%E -1.28%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-03 17:15
Everygame2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.91%E -1.28%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-03 17:20
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -0.667%E -0.386%K -0.914%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 17:20
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-03 17:10
MyBookie.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 17:10
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:05
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:05
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.26%E -3.19%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:25
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.56%E -4.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 17:35
Bovada2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.04%E -2.26%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 17:30
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.04%E -2.26%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.69%E -2.82%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 16:45
FanDuel2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.47%E -2.46%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 17:10
SportsBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.89%E -2.67%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.39%E -1.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 14:50
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.39%E -1.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 14:50
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.39%E -1.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:05
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 14:50
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 17:15
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 14:50
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 17:05
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:30
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:30
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:30
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:30
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 16:54
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:25
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:04
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.26%E -3.19%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 17:25
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.17%E -3.29%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 17:05
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.17%E -3.29%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 17:05
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.45%E -3.93%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 17:34
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.45%E -3.93%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.98%E -4.31%K -11.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 17:35
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.87%E -4.15%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 17:25
Bally Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.87%E -4.15%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 17:25
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -8.87%E -4.15%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:25
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -8.87%E -4.15%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:25
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 17:35
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 17:35
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -11.43%E -5.49%K -10.58%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 17:35
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -11.43%E -5.49%K -10.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 17:35
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 44.50%EV -11.85%E -5.73%K -11.08%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -4.69%E -2.82%K -7.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -12.28%E -5.96%K -11.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -5.26%E -3.19%K -8.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 17:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%0.2%2026-05-03 17:25
Novig2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-05-03 17:34
ProphetX2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-05-03 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-05-03 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-05-03 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-05-03 17:19
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-05-03 14:30
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-05-03 17:05
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%1.6%2026-05-03 17:35
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.0%2026-05-03 17:35