La escuela de los momios

Washington Nationals v Milwaukee Brewers

Inicio: 2026-05-03 17:36 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 3–2 Milwaukee Brewers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Predicción 42.58%2.35momio equitativo
EV +0.068%
Ventaja +0.029%
Kelly +0.050%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.26%42.48%42.78%45.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.062.202.202.3548.54%45.38%45.45%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Predicción 57.42%1.74momio equitativo
EV -0.667%
Ventaja -0.386%
Kelly -0.914%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.88%57.52%57.22%59.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.681.681.7364.52%59.68%59.52%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.068%E +0.029%K +0.050%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.98%E -4.31%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:35
GTbets2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.784%E -0.336%K -0.589%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 17:15
BetOnline.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.64%E -0.708%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-03 17:15
LowVig.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.64%E -0.708%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-03 17:15
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-03 17:10
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 16:10
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.26%E -3.19%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 14:50
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.56%E -4.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:35
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.13%E -5.08%K -13.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 17:35
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.13%E -5.08%K -13.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 16:10
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -9.28%E -5.87%K -16.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 17:35
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.06%E -0.896%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -11.00%E -7.10%K -20.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 17:30
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.91%E -1.28%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-03 17:15
Everygame2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.91%E -1.28%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-03 17:20
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -0.667%E -0.386%K -0.914%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-03 17:20
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-03 17:10
MyBookie.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 17:10
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:05
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:05
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.26%E -3.19%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:25
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.56%E -4.69%K -12.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 17:35
Bovada2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.04%E -2.26%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-03 17:30
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.04%E -2.26%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.69%E -2.82%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 16:45
FanDuel2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.47%E -2.46%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 17:10
SportsBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.89%E -2.67%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.39%E -1.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 14:50
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.39%E -1.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 14:50
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.39%E -1.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:05
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 14:50
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 17:15
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 14:50
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 17:05
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:30
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:30
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:30
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:30
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 16:54
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:25
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 17:04
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.32%E -2.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.26%E -3.19%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 17:25
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.17%E -3.29%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 17:05
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.17%E -3.29%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 17:05
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.45%E -3.93%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 17:34
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.45%E -3.93%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.98%E -4.31%K -11.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 17:35
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.87%E -4.15%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 17:25
Bally Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.87%E -4.15%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 17:25
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -8.87%E -4.15%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:25
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -8.87%E -4.15%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:25
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 17:35
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 17:35
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.58%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.54%E -2.11%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 17:35
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -11.43%E -5.49%K -10.58%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -1.82%E -1.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 17:35
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -11.43%E -5.49%K -10.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 17:35
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 44.50%EV -11.85%E -5.73%K -11.08%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -4.69%E -2.82%K -7.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -12.28%E -5.96%K -11.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -5.26%E -3.19%K -8.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 17:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%0.2%2026-05-03 17:25
Novig2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-05-03 17:34
ProphetX2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-05-03 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-05-03 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-05-03 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-05-03 17:19
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-05-03 14:30
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-05-03 17:05
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%1.6%2026-05-03 17:35
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.0%2026-05-03 17:35