Language:English
Washington Nationals v Miami Marlins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Washington Nationals (Local)
Prediction 49.04%2.04fair odd
EV +1.52%
Edge +0.734%
Kelly +1.42%
Growth +0.022%
assuming max odds 2.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%48.90%48.95%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.971.962.0753.19%50.76%51.02%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Marlins (Visit)
Prediction 50.96%1.96fair odd
EV -0.125%
Edge -0.064%
Kelly -0.130%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.10%51.05%53.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.851.851.9658.14%53.99%54.05%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Nationals (Local): 49.04%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 50.96%. For Washington Nationals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.07, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.52%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +1.52%E +0.734%K +1.42%G +0.022% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -8.79%E -4.91%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +1.52%E +0.734%K +1.42%G +0.022% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -8.79%E -4.91%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +1.52%E +0.734%K +1.42%G +0.022% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -8.79%E -4.91%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +1.52%E +0.734%K +1.42%G +0.022% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -8.79%E -4.91%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.03%E +0.500%K +0.971%G +0.010% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.30%E -5.22%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.03%E +0.500%K +0.971%G +0.010% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.30%E -5.22%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.03%E +0.500%K +0.971%G +0.010% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.30%E -5.22%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.03%E +0.500%K +0.971%G +0.010% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.30%E -5.22%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.03%E +0.500%K +0.971%G +0.010% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.30%E -5.22%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.03%E +0.500%K +0.971%G +0.010% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.30%E -5.22%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +0.539%E +0.263%K +0.513%G +0.003% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -9.81%E -5.54%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV +0.049%E +0.024%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-31 21:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -0.932%E -0.461%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -2.67%E -1.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -0.932%E -0.461%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -0.932%E -0.461%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -10.32%E -5.86%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -0.932%E -0.461%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -10.32%E -5.86%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.91%E -0.957%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.67%E -1.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-31 16:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.91%E -0.957%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.67%E -1.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-31 22:43 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.91%E -0.957%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.28%E -4.60%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.89%E -1.46%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.65%E -0.857%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-31 21:38 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -2.89%E -1.46%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -7.26%E -3.99%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -0.635%E -0.326%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.65%E -0.857%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-31 21:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.65%E -0.857%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-31 21:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.65%E -0.857%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-31 21:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.65%E -0.857%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -3.69%E -1.95%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.24%E -3.39%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.28%E -4.60%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -12.35%E -7.18%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.125%E -0.064%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-31 21:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.22%E -2.81%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.18%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.18%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 22:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 21:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 21:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.86%E -2.50%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.18%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.86%E -2.50%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.86%E -2.50%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 22:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 22:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.84%E -3.04%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.75%E -3.69%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.75%E -3.69%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.22%E -2.81%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 22:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 22:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -7.31%E -3.87%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -7.77%E -4.29%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-31 22:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.80%E -4.15%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.50% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.11% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.89% | 1.3% | 2026-08-31 22:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64% | 1.8% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.1% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |