Langue:Français
Washington Nationals v Miami Marlins
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Washington Nationals (Local)
Prévision 49.04%2.04cote équitable
EV +1.52%
Avantage +0.734%
Kelly +1.42%
Croissance +0.022%
avec la cote maximale 2.07
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.34%48.90%48.95%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.881.971.962.0753.19%50.76%51.02%48.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Miami Marlins (Visiteur)
Prévision 50.96%1.96cote équitable
EV -0.125%
Avantage -0.064%
Kelly -0.130%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.96
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.10%51.05%53.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.721.851.851.9658.14%53.99%54.05%51.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Washington Nationals (Local) : 49.04% ; Miami Marlins (Visiteur) : 50.96%. Pour Washington Nationals (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.04. 12 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.07, soit une espérance positive de +1.52%.
Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +1.52%E +0.734%K +1.42%G +0.022% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -8.79%E -4.91%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +1.52%E +0.734%K +1.42%G +0.022% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -8.79%E -4.91%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +1.52%E +0.734%K +1.42%G +0.022% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -8.79%E -4.91%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +1.52%E +0.734%K +1.42%G +0.022% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -8.79%E -4.91%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.03%E +0.500%K +0.971%G +0.010% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.30%E -5.22%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.03%E +0.500%K +0.971%G +0.010% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.30%E -5.22%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.03%E +0.500%K +0.971%G +0.010% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.30%E -5.22%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.03%E +0.500%K +0.971%G +0.010% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.30%E -5.22%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.03%E +0.500%K +0.971%G +0.010% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.30%E -5.22%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.03%E +0.500%K +0.971%G +0.010% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.30%E -5.22%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +0.539%E +0.263%K +0.513%G +0.003% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -9.81%E -5.54%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV +0.049%E +0.024%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-31 21:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -0.932%E -0.461%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -2.67%E -1.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -0.932%E -0.461%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -0.932%E -0.461%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -10.32%E -5.86%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -0.932%E -0.461%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -10.32%E -5.86%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.91%E -0.957%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.67%E -1.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-31 16:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.91%E -0.957%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.67%E -1.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-31 22:43 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.91%E -0.957%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.28%E -4.60%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.89%E -1.46%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.65%E -0.857%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-31 21:38 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -2.89%E -1.46%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -7.26%E -3.99%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -0.635%E -0.326%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.65%E -0.857%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-31 21:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.65%E -0.857%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-31 21:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.65%E -0.857%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-31 21:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.65%E -0.857%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -3.69%E -1.95%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.24%E -3.39%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.28%E -4.60%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -12.35%E -7.18%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.125%E -0.064%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-31 21:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.22%E -2.81%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.18%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.18%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 22:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 21:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 21:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.86%E -2.50%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.18%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.86%E -2.50%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.86%E -2.50%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 22:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 22:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.84%E -3.04%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.75%E -3.69%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.75%E -3.69%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.22%E -2.81%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 22:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 22:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -7.31%E -3.87%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -7.77%E -4.29%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-31 22:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.80%E -4.15%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (10)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.50% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.11% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.89% | 1.3% | 2026-08-31 22:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64% | 1.8% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.1% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |