StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Washington Nationals v Miami Marlins

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-31 22:46 UTC

Endstand: Washington Nationals 6–3 Miami Marlins

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

66 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Washington Nationals (Heim)

Prognose 49.04%2.04faire Quote
EV +1.52%
Vorteil +0.734%
Kelly +1.42%
Wachstum +0.022%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.07

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
46.34%48.90%48.95%50.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.881.971.962.0753.19%50.76%51.02%48.31%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Miami Marlins (Auswärts)

Prognose 50.96%1.96faire Quote
EV -0.125%
Vorteil -0.064%
Kelly -0.130%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.96

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
50.00%51.10%51.05%53.66%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.721.851.851.9658.14%53.99%54.05%51.02%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Washington Nationals (Heim): 49.04%; Miami Marlins (Auswärts): 50.96%. Für Washington Nationals (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.04. 12 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.07 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.52%.

Wettanbieterquoten (66 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +1.52%E +0.734%K +1.42%G +0.022%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -8.79%E -4.91%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 22:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +1.52%E +0.734%K +1.42%G +0.022%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -8.79%E -4.91%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 22:45
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +1.52%E +0.734%K +1.42%G +0.022%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -8.79%E -4.91%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 22:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +1.52%E +0.734%K +1.42%G +0.022%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -8.79%E -4.91%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 22:45
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.03%E +0.500%K +0.971%G +0.010%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.30%E -5.22%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.03%E +0.500%K +0.971%G +0.010%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.30%E -5.22%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 22:45
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.03%E +0.500%K +0.971%G +0.010%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.30%E -5.22%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 22:45
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.03%E +0.500%K +0.971%G +0.010%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.30%E -5.22%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 22:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.03%E +0.500%K +0.971%G +0.010%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.30%E -5.22%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 22:45
Bally Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.03%E +0.500%K +0.971%G +0.010%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.30%E -5.22%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 22:45
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +0.539%E +0.263%K +0.513%G +0.003%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -9.81%E -5.54%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 22:45
Caesars🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV +0.049%E +0.024%K +0.047%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-31 21:15
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -0.932%E -0.461%K -0.914%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -2.67%E -1.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-31 21:55
theScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -0.932%E -0.461%K -0.914%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 21:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -0.932%E -0.461%K -0.914%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -10.32%E -5.86%K -13.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 22:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -0.932%E -0.461%K -0.914%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -10.32%E -5.86%K -13.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 22:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.91%E -0.957%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.67%E -1.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-31 16:20
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.91%E -0.957%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.67%E -1.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-31 22:43
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.91%E -0.957%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.28%E -4.60%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 22:00
Everygame🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.89%E -1.46%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.65%E -0.857%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-31 21:38
Dabble (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -2.89%E -1.46%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -7.26%E -3.99%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 22:05
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -0.635%E -0.326%K -0.668%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-31 21:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.65%E -0.857%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-31 21:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.65%E -0.857%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-31 21:20
GTbets🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.65%E -0.857%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-31 21:20
BetAnything🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.65%E -0.857%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-31 21:50
DraftKings🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -3.69%E -1.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 22:45
SportsBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.24%E -3.39%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 21:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.28%E -4.60%K -10.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 22:45
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -12.35%E -7.18%K -17.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 22:45
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.125%E -0.064%K -0.130%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-31 21:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 22:40
Bet Right🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.22%E -2.81%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 22:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 22:10
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 21:29
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.18%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-31 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.18%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-31 21:55
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 22:44
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 21:15
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 22:40
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 21:50
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 22:40
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 21:54
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 22:40
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 21:55
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.86%E -2.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.18%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 22:45
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.86%E -2.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.86%E -2.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 21:55
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 22:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 22:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.84%E -3.04%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 22:45
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 22:45
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 22:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 22:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 22:10
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.75%E -3.69%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 21:40
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.75%E -3.69%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 21:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 21:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.22%E -2.81%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 22:45
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 22:38
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 22:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -7.31%E -3.87%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -7.77%E -4.29%K -9.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 22:44
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.80%E -4.15%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 22:45
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
ProphetX◎2.01I 49.75%NM 49.50%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50%0.5%2026-08-31 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-08-31 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-08-31 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-08-31 22:45
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-31 21:50
Novig◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-08-31 22:45
Polymarket◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-31 22:10
BetOpenly◎2.01I 49.75%NM 49.11%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.89%1.3%2026-08-31 22:44
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64%1.8%2026-08-31 22:45
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-08-31 22:45