语言:简体中文
Washington Nationals v Miami Marlins
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Washington Nationals (主队)
预测 49.04%2.04公平赔率
EV +1.52%
优势 +0.734%
Kelly +1.42%
增长率 +0.022%
假设最高赔率为 2.07
博彩公司预测分布
46.34%48.90%48.95%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.881.971.962.0753.19%50.76%51.02%48.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
Miami Marlins (客队)
预测 50.96%1.96公平赔率
EV -0.125%
优势 -0.064%
Kelly -0.130%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.96
博彩公司预测分布
50.00%51.10%51.05%53.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.721.851.851.9658.14%53.99%54.05%51.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Washington Nationals (主队)：49.04%；Miami Marlins (客队)：50.96%。 对于“Washington Nationals (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.04。 当时有12家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.07，对应+1.52%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +1.52%E +0.734%K +1.42%G +0.022% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -8.79%E -4.91%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +1.52%E +0.734%K +1.42%G +0.022% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -8.79%E -4.91%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +1.52%E +0.734%K +1.42%G +0.022% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -8.79%E -4.91%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +1.52%E +0.734%K +1.42%G +0.022% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -8.79%E -4.91%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.03%E +0.500%K +0.971%G +0.010% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.30%E -5.22%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.03%E +0.500%K +0.971%G +0.010% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.30%E -5.22%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.03%E +0.500%K +0.971%G +0.010% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.30%E -5.22%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.03%E +0.500%K +0.971%G +0.010% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.30%E -5.22%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.03%E +0.500%K +0.971%G +0.010% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.30%E -5.22%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.03%E +0.500%K +0.971%G +0.010% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.30%E -5.22%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +0.539%E +0.263%K +0.513%G +0.003% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -9.81%E -5.54%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV +0.049%E +0.024%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-31 21:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -0.932%E -0.461%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -2.67%E -1.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -0.932%E -0.461%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -0.932%E -0.461%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -10.32%E -5.86%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -0.932%E -0.461%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -10.32%E -5.86%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.91%E -0.957%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.67%E -1.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-31 16:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.91%E -0.957%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.67%E -1.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-31 22:43 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.91%E -0.957%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.28%E -4.60%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.89%E -1.46%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.65%E -0.857%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-31 21:38 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -2.89%E -1.46%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -7.26%E -3.99%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -0.635%E -0.326%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.65%E -0.857%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-31 21:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.65%E -0.857%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-31 21:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.65%E -0.857%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-31 21:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.65%E -0.857%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -3.69%E -1.95%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.24%E -3.39%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.28%E -4.60%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -12.35%E -7.18%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.125%E -0.064%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-31 21:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.22%E -2.81%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.18%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.18%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 22:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 21:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 21:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.86%E -2.50%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.18%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.86%E -2.50%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.86%E -2.50%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 22:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 22:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.84%E -3.04%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.75%E -3.69%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.75%E -3.69%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.22%E -2.81%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 22:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 22:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -7.31%E -3.87%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -7.77%E -4.29%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-31 22:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.80%E -4.15%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (10)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.50% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.11% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.89% | 1.3% | 2026-08-31 22:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64% | 1.8% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.1% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |