Język:Polski
Washington Nationals v Miami Marlins
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Washington Nationals (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 49.04%2.04kurs godziwy
EV +1.52%
Przewaga +0.734%
Kelly +1.42%
Wzrost +0.022%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.07
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
46.34%48.90%48.95%50.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.881.971.962.0753.19%50.76%51.02%48.31%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Miami Marlins (Goście)
Prognoza 50.96%1.96kurs godziwy
EV -0.125%
Przewaga -0.064%
Kelly -0.130%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.96
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
50.00%51.10%51.05%53.66%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.721.851.851.9658.14%53.99%54.05%51.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Washington Nationals (Gospodarze): 49.04%; Miami Marlins (Goście): 50.96%. Dla wyniku Washington Nationals (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.04. 12 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.07, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.52%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (66 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +1.52%E +0.734%K +1.42%G +0.022% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -8.79%E -4.91%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +1.52%E +0.734%K +1.42%G +0.022% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -8.79%E -4.91%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +1.52%E +0.734%K +1.42%G +0.022% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -8.79%E -4.91%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +1.52%E +0.734%K +1.42%G +0.022% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -8.79%E -4.91%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.03%E +0.500%K +0.971%G +0.010% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.30%E -5.22%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.03%E +0.500%K +0.971%G +0.010% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.30%E -5.22%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.03%E +0.500%K +0.971%G +0.010% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.30%E -5.22%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.03%E +0.500%K +0.971%G +0.010% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.30%E -5.22%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.03%E +0.500%K +0.971%G +0.010% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.30%E -5.22%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.03%E +0.500%K +0.971%G +0.010% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.30%E -5.22%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +0.539%E +0.263%K +0.513%G +0.003% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -9.81%E -5.54%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV +0.049%E +0.024%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-31 21:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -0.932%E -0.461%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -2.67%E -1.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -0.932%E -0.461%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -0.932%E -0.461%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -10.32%E -5.86%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -0.932%E -0.461%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -10.32%E -5.86%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.91%E -0.957%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.67%E -1.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-31 16:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.91%E -0.957%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.67%E -1.40%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-31 22:43 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.91%E -0.957%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.28%E -4.60%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.89%E -1.46%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.65%E -0.857%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-31 21:38 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -2.89%E -1.46%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -7.26%E -3.99%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -0.635%E -0.326%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.65%E -0.857%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-31 21:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.65%E -0.857%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-31 21:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.65%E -0.857%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-31 21:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.65%E -0.857%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -3.69%E -1.95%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.24%E -3.39%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.28%E -4.60%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -3.38%E -1.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -12.35%E -7.18%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.125%E -0.064%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-31 21:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.22%E -2.81%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.18%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.18%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 22:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 21:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 21:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.37%E -2.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.86%E -2.50%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.18%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.86%E -2.50%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.86%E -2.50%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 22:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.35%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 22:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.84%E -3.04%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.20%E -2.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.71%E -2.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.75%E -3.69%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.75%E -3.69%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.18%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.22%E -2.81%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 22:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 22:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -7.31%E -3.87%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -7.77%E -4.29%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-31 22:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.80%E -4.15%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.73%E -3.10%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (10)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.50% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 22:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.11% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.89% | 1.3% | 2026-08-31 22:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64% | 1.8% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.1% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |