Language:English
Washington Nationals v Miami Marlins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Washington Nationals (Local)
Prediction 53.75%1.86fair odd
EV -0.033%
Edge -0.018%
Kelly -0.039%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.19%53.68%54.03%55.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.791.791.8658.82%56.00%55.87%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Marlins (Visit)
Prediction 46.25%2.16fair odd
EV +0.835%
Edge +0.383%
Kelly +0.707%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 2.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.95%46.32%45.97%48.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.062.052.1851.81%48.55%48.78%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Nationals (Local): 53.75%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 46.25%. For Miami Marlins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.18, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.835%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -4.33%E -2.43%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV +0.835%E +0.383%K +0.707%G +0.006% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.80%E -2.12%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV +0.372%E +0.171%K +0.318%G +0.001% | 1.9% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.80%E -2.12%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.090%E -0.042%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.553%E -0.257%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 16:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.553%E -0.257%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.80%E -2.12%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.553%E -0.257%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.80%E -2.12%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.553%E -0.257%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.02%E -0.475%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -4.33%E -2.43%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -1.02%E -0.475%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -6.48%E -3.73%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -1.48%E -0.694%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 16:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.87%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.87%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.87%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.87%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 16:13 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.87%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.48%E -3.73%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.87%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.87%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.87%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.87%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.87%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.87%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.571%E -0.308%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -3.33%E -1.59%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-30 15:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%EV -0.033%E -0.018%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 16:13 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -1.65%E -0.899%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -4.25%E -2.05%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 15:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.25%E -2.05%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.25%E -2.05%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -0.033%E -0.018%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -4.72%E -2.29%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-30 15:58 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.72%E -2.29%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 16:08 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -1.65%E -0.899%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -1.65%E -0.899%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -1.65%E -0.899%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -1.65%E -0.899%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -1.65%E -0.899%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 15:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.18%E -1.20%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.18%E -1.20%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.72%E -1.50%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.72%E -1.50%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.72%E -1.50%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.72%E -1.50%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.72%E -1.50%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -8.10%E -4.73%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.97%EV -7.03%E -3.50%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 16:13 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -0.571%E -0.308%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -7.49%E -3.75%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.49%E -3.75%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 15:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.33%E -2.43%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.49%E -3.75%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.33%E -2.43%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.49%E -3.75%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 15:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.18%E -1.20%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -8.42%E -4.25%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -3.80%E -2.12%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -8.42%E -4.25%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -3.80%E -2.12%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -8.42%E -4.25%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -8.88%E -4.51%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -0.571%E -0.308%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -9.80%E -5.03%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -0.571%E -0.308%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -10.27%E -5.29%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -10.27%E -5.29%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -10.73%E -5.56%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.48% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 45.52% | 0.3% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |