Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals v Miami Marlins

Início: 2026-08-30 16:16 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 2–6 Miami Marlins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

54%

46%

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Previsão 53.75%1.86odd justa

EV -0.033%

Vantagem -0.018%

Kelly -0.039%

Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

51.19%53.68%54.03%55.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribuição das odds

1.701.791.791.8658.82%56.00%55.87%53.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Previsão 46.25%2.16odd justa

EV +0.835%

Vantagem +0.383%

Kelly +0.707%

Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

44.95%46.32%45.97%48.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribuição das odds

1.932.062.052.1851.81%48.55%48.78%45.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Washington Nationals (Local): 53.75%; Miami Marlins (Visitante): 46.25%. Para Miami Marlins (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.16. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.18, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.835%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostas	Local	Visitante ▼	Margem	Atualização
Pinnacle🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -4.33%E -2.43%K -5.55%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV +0.835%E +0.383%K +0.707%G +0.006%	2.1%	2026-08-30 16:10
GTbets🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.80%E -2.12%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV +0.372%E +0.171%K +0.318%G +0.001%	1.9%	2026-08-30 16:15
FanDuel🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.80%E -2.12%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.090%E -0.042%K -0.078%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-08-30 16:15
Caesars🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.07%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.553%E -0.257%K -0.481%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-08-30 16:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.07%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.553%E -0.257%K -0.481%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-08-30 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.80%E -2.12%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.553%E -0.257%K -0.481%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-08-30 16:15
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.80%E -2.12%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.553%E -0.257%K -0.481%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-08-30 16:15
BetUS🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.07%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.02%E -0.475%K -0.891%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-08-30 16:10
BetAnything🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -4.33%E -2.43%K -5.55%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -1.02%E -0.475%K -0.891%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-08-30 16:14
Bovada🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -6.48%E -3.73%K -8.76%G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -1.48%E -0.694%K -1.31%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-30 16:09
Fanatics🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.87%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-30 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.87%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-30 16:05
Coral🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.87%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-30 16:14
TAB🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.87%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-30 16:13
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.87%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-30 16:10
SportsBet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.48%E -3.73%K -8.76%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.87%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-30 16:15
888sport🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.87%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-30 16:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.87%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-30 16:14
888sport (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.87%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-30 16:14
betfred_uk🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.87%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-30 16:14
William Hill🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.87%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-30 16:15
1xBet🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.571%E -0.308%K -0.671%G +0.000%	2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -3.33%E -1.59%K -3.05%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-08-30 15:45
DraftKings🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%EV -0.033%E -0.018%K -0.039%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%	1.8%	2026-08-30 16:15
Bet Right🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.12%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-30 16:14
Coolbet🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.12%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-30 16:13
PlayUp🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-30 16:14
Marathon Bet🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-30 16:14
theScore Bet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -1.65%E -0.899%K -1.98%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -4.25%E -2.05%K -3.98%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-30 15:35
NordicBet🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.12%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.25%E -2.05%K -3.98%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-30 16:15
Betsson🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.12%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.25%E -2.05%K -3.98%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-30 16:15
Everygame🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -0.033%E -0.018%K -0.039%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -4.72%E -2.29%K -4.45%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-08-30 15:58
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.07%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.72%E -2.29%K -4.45%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-30 16:08
betano_uk🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -1.65%E -0.899%K -1.98%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-30 16:15
Bet Victor🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -1.65%E -0.899%K -1.98%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-30 16:14
ReBet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -1.65%E -0.899%K -1.98%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-30 16:14
BetRivers🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -1.65%E -0.899%K -1.98%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-30 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -1.65%E -0.899%K -1.98%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-30 16:15
Betway🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.07%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-30 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.07%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-30 15:30
Fliff🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-30 16:10
Neds🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-30 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-30 16:15
BetMGM🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-30 16:05
Betr (AU)🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.12%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-30 16:14
Paddy Power🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-30 16:10
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.18%E -1.20%K -2.66%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.44%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-30 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.18%E -1.20%K -2.66%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.44%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-30 16:15
Casumo🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.72%E -1.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.44%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-30 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.72%E -1.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.44%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-30 16:15
Bally Bet🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.72%E -1.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.44%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-30 16:15
betPARX🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.72%E -1.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.44%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-30 16:14
ATG (SE)🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.72%E -1.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.44%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-30 16:15
LeoVegas🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.07%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.44%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-30 16:14
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -8.10%E -4.73%K -11.40%G +0.000%	2.01I 49.75%NM 45.97%EV -7.03%E -3.50%K -6.96%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-30 16:13
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -0.571%E -0.308%K -0.671%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -7.49%E -3.75%K -7.49%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-30 16:15
BoyleSports🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.07%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.49%E -3.75%K -7.49%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-30 15:35
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.33%E -2.43%K -5.55%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.49%E -3.75%K -7.49%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-30 16:14
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.33%E -2.43%K -5.55%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.49%E -3.75%K -7.49%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-30 15:45
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.18%E -1.20%K -2.66%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -8.42%E -4.25%K -8.59%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-30 15:40
Virgin Bet🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -3.80%E -2.12%K -4.80%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -8.42%E -4.25%K -8.59%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-30 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -3.80%E -2.12%K -4.80%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -8.42%E -4.25%K -8.59%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-30 16:15
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.07%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -8.88%E -4.51%K -9.15%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-30 16:15
Unibet🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -0.571%E -0.308%K -0.671%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -9.80%E -5.03%K -10.32%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-30 16:14
TABtouch🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -0.571%E -0.308%K -0.671%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -10.27%E -5.29%K -10.92%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-30 16:14
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -10.27%E -5.29%K -10.92%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-08-30 16:15
Grosvenor🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -10.73%E -5.56%K -11.54%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-08-30 16:15

Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostas	Local	Visitante	Margem ▲	Atualização
ProphetX◎	1.83I 54.64%NM 54.48%	2.19I 45.66%NM 45.52%	0.3%	2026-08-30 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%	2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%	0.7%	2026-08-30 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%	2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%	0.7%	2026-08-30 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%	2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%	0.8%	2026-08-30 16:10
Novig◎	1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%	2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%	1.0%	2026-08-30 16:15
Matchbook◎	1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%	2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%	1.0%	2026-08-30 16:15
Polymarket◎	1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%	2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%	1.0%	2026-08-30 16:05
Kalshi◎	1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%	2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%	1.0%	2026-08-30 16:10
BetOpenly◎	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%	1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%	6.7%	2026-08-30 16:14
Smarkets◎	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%	1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%	8.2%	2026-08-30 16:15