Langue:Français
Washington Nationals v Miami Marlins
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Washington Nationals (Local)
Prévision 53.75%1.86cote équitable
EV -0.033%
Avantage -0.018%
Kelly -0.039%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.86
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.19%53.68%54.03%55.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.701.791.791.8658.82%56.00%55.87%53.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Miami Marlins (Visiteur)
Prévision 46.25%2.16cote équitable
EV +0.835%
Avantage +0.383%
Kelly +0.707%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 2.18
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.95%46.32%45.97%48.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.932.062.052.1851.81%48.55%48.78%45.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Washington Nationals (Local) : 53.75% ; Miami Marlins (Visiteur) : 46.25%. Pour Miami Marlins (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.16. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.18, soit une espérance positive de +0.835%.
Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -4.33%E -2.43%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV +0.835%E +0.383%K +0.707%G +0.006% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.80%E -2.12%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV +0.372%E +0.171%K +0.318%G +0.001% | 1.9% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.80%E -2.12%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.090%E -0.042%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.553%E -0.257%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 16:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.553%E -0.257%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.80%E -2.12%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.553%E -0.257%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.80%E -2.12%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -0.553%E -0.257%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.02%E -0.475%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -4.33%E -2.43%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -1.02%E -0.475%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -6.48%E -3.73%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -1.48%E -0.694%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 16:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.87%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.87%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.87%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.87%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 16:13 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.87%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.48%E -3.73%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.87%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.87%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.87%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.87%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.87%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.87%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.571%E -0.308%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -3.33%E -1.59%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-30 15:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%EV -0.033%E -0.018%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 16:13 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -1.65%E -0.899%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -4.25%E -2.05%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 15:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.25%E -2.05%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.25%E -2.05%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -0.033%E -0.018%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -4.72%E -2.29%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-30 15:58 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.72%E -2.29%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 16:08 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -1.65%E -0.899%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -1.65%E -0.899%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -1.65%E -0.899%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -1.65%E -0.899%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -1.65%E -0.899%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 15:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.18%E -2.53%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.18%E -1.20%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.18%E -1.20%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.72%E -1.50%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.72%E -1.50%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.72%E -1.50%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.72%E -1.50%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.72%E -1.50%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -8.10%E -4.73%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.97%EV -7.03%E -3.50%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 16:13 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -0.571%E -0.308%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -7.49%E -3.75%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.49%E -3.75%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 15:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.33%E -2.43%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.49%E -3.75%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.33%E -2.43%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.49%E -3.75%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 15:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.18%E -1.20%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -8.42%E -4.25%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -3.80%E -2.12%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -8.42%E -4.25%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -3.80%E -2.12%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -8.42%E -4.25%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -8.88%E -4.51%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -0.571%E -0.308%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -9.80%E -5.03%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -0.571%E -0.308%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -10.27%E -5.29%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -10.27%E -5.29%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -10.73%E -5.56%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (10)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.48% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 45.52% | 0.3% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 16:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |