Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Washington Nationals v Miami Marlins

2026-08-30 16:16 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prévision 49.31%2.03cote équitable
EV -1.39%
Avantage -0.694%
Kelly -1.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.05%49.30%49.34%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.861.941.952.0053.76%51.54%51.28%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Miami Marlins (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.69%1.97cote équitable
EV -1.15%
Avantage -0.588%
Kelly -1.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%50.70%50.66%51.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.781.871.871.9556.18%53.40%53.48%51.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Washington Nationals (Local) : 49.31% ; Miami Marlins (Visiteur) : 50.69%. Pour Miami Marlins (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.97. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 1.95, pour une espérance de -1.15% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.39%E -0.694%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.17%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-29 20:35
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.39%E -0.694%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 22:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.39%E -0.694%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 22:25
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.38%E -1.20%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.65%E -0.852%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-29 21:40
Pinnacle🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.38%E -1.20%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.16%E -1.12%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 20:20
BetUS🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.38%E -1.20%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.16%E -1.12%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 20:35
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.38%E -1.20%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.71%E -3.07%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 23:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 23:35
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 23:35
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 23:35
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 23:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 23:34
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 00:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.15%E -0.588%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.15%E -0.588%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 18:39
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.15%E -0.588%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 20:34
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.15%E -0.588%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 19:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 00:14
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 23:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 23:25
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 19:05
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 20:20
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 19:19
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 20:10
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 19:29
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 22:19
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:38
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 19:30
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 19:30
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 18:40
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 00:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.35%E -2.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 20:20
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.35%E -2.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.35%E -2.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 19:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.35%E -2.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.74%E -4.25%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 23:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.35%E -2.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.74%E -4.25%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 23:35
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 23:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.69%E -2.50%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 19:05
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.69%E -2.50%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 20:10
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.69%E -2.50%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 02:10
LeoVegas🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.69%E -2.50%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 22:55
BetAnything🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 00:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.69%E -2.50%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 20:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.69%E -2.50%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 21:25
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 18:39
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 22:00
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:50
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 22:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.71%E -3.07%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 19:05
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:40
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 19:03
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 19:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:40
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.50%EV -6.81%E -3.60%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.50%EV -9.76%E -5.49%K -12.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 23:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.31%E -3.89%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 22:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.46%EV -8.29%E -4.46%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.54%EV -7.74%E -4.25%K -9.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 20:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%0.0%2026-08-30 01:45
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-08-29 23:45
ProphetX2.03I 49.26%NM 48.87%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.13%0.8%2026-08-30 02:00
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-29 18:35
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%2.9%2026-08-29 20:15
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%8.1%2026-08-30 02:10