默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Washington Nationals v Miami Marlins

2026-08-30 16:16 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

61 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Washington Nationals (主队)

预测 49.31%2.03公平赔率
EV -1.39%
优势 -0.694%
Kelly -1.39%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.00

博彩公司预测分布
48.05%49.30%49.34%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.861.941.952.0053.76%51.54%51.28%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

Miami Marlins (客队)

预测 50.69%1.97公平赔率
EV -1.15%
优势 -0.588%
Kelly -1.21%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.95

博彩公司预测分布
50.00%50.70%50.66%51.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.781.871.871.9556.18%53.40%53.48%51.28%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Washington Nationals (主队):49.31%;Miami Marlins (客队):50.69%。 对于“Miami Marlins (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.97。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为1.95,期望值为-1.15%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.39%E -0.694%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.17%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-29 20:35
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.39%E -0.694%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 22:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.39%E -0.694%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 22:25
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.38%E -1.20%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.65%E -0.852%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-29 21:40
Pinnacle🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.38%E -1.20%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.16%E -1.12%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 20:20
BetUS🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.38%E -1.20%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.16%E -1.12%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 20:35
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.38%E -1.20%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.71%E -3.07%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 23:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 23:35
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 23:35
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 23:35
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 23:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 23:34
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 00:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.15%E -0.588%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.15%E -0.588%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 18:39
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.15%E -0.588%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 20:34
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.15%E -0.588%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 19:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 00:14
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 23:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 23:25
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 19:05
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 20:20
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 19:19
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 20:10
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 19:29
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 22:19
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:38
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 19:30
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 19:30
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 18:40
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 00:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.35%E -2.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 20:20
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.35%E -2.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.35%E -2.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 19:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.35%E -2.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.74%E -4.25%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 23:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.35%E -2.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.74%E -4.25%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 23:35
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 23:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.69%E -2.50%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 19:05
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.69%E -2.50%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 20:10
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.69%E -2.50%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 02:10
LeoVegas🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.69%E -2.50%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 22:55
BetAnything🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 00:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.69%E -2.50%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 20:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.69%E -2.50%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 21:25
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 18:39
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 22:00
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:50
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 22:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.71%E -3.07%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 19:05
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:40
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 19:03
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 19:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:40
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.50%EV -6.81%E -3.60%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.50%EV -9.76%E -5.49%K -12.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 23:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.31%E -3.89%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 22:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.46%EV -8.29%E -4.46%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.54%EV -7.74%E -4.25%K -9.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 20:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%0.0%2026-08-30 01:45
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-08-29 23:45
ProphetX2.03I 49.26%NM 48.87%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.13%0.8%2026-08-30 02:00
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-29 18:35
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%2.9%2026-08-29 20:15
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%8.1%2026-08-30 02:10