Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Nationals v Cincinnati Reds

2026-08-07 22:46 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prediction 52.02%1.92fair odd
EV -0.642%
Edge -0.336%
Kelly -0.705%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.92%52.01%52.00%54.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.831.831.9157.14%54.79%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visit)

Prediction 47.98%2.08fair odd
EV +0.758%
Edge +0.361%
Kelly +0.689%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.45%47.99%48.00%49.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.931.992.002.1051.81%50.18%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Washington Nationals (Local): 52.02%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 47.98%. For Cincinnati Reds (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.08. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.10, producing a positive expected value of +0.758%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%EV -3.76%E -2.03%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%EV +0.758%E +0.361%K +0.689%G +0.005%1.7%2026-08-07 12:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.96%E -5.12%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +0.758%E +0.361%K +0.689%G +0.005%4.8%2026-08-07 12:19
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -2.20%E -1.17%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -1.64%E -0.800%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-07 12:50
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -5.84%E -3.23%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -2.12%E -1.04%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 12:35
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -6.88%E -3.85%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -2.60%E -1.28%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 12:34
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -0.642%E -0.336%K -0.705%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -3.08%E -1.52%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-07 13:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.80%E -2.62%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.08%E -1.52%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 11:20
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.80%E -2.62%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.08%E -1.52%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 11:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.80%E -2.62%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.08%E -1.52%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 11:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.80%E -2.62%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.08%E -1.52%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 11:20
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.32%E -2.93%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.08%E -1.52%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 11:20
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.32%E -2.93%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.08%E -1.52%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.32%E -2.93%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.08%E -1.52%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 11:20
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.32%E -2.93%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.08%E -1.52%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 11:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.32%E -2.93%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.08%E -1.52%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 11:20
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.32%E -2.93%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.08%E -1.52%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 11:19
Caesars🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -1.16%E -0.612%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.56%E -1.77%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-07 12:56
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.76%E -2.03%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 12:59
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.76%E -2.03%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 11:50
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.80%E -2.62%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 10:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.80%E -2.62%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 10:50
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.80%E -2.62%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 12:35
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.80%E -2.62%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 10:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.80%E -2.62%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 12:35
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.80%E -2.62%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 09:40
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.80%E -2.62%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 10:50
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.32%E -2.93%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 10:20
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.84%E -3.23%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 11:20
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.36%E -3.54%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 09:00
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.36%E -3.54%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 12:34
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.36%E -3.54%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 08:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.36%E -3.54%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 08:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.36%E -3.54%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 09:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.32%E -2.93%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.52%E -2.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 12:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.32%E -2.93%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.52%E -2.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 12:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.28%E -2.33%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.00%E -2.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 12:55
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.80%E -2.62%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.00%E -2.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 10:05
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.80%E -2.62%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.00%E -2.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 10:05
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.80%E -2.62%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.00%E -2.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 11:50
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.80%E -2.62%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.00%E -2.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 12:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -6.88%E -3.85%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -5.00%E -2.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 11:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -6.88%E -3.85%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -5.00%E -2.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 11:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.32%E -2.93%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.96%E -3.04%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 12:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.32%E -2.93%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.96%E -3.04%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 12:55
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.72%E -1.46%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.76%E -2.03%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 12:55
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.76%E -2.03%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 13:00
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.80%E -2.62%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 08:49
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.80%E -2.62%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 12:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.80%E -2.62%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 13:00
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.36%E -3.54%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 10:13
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.36%E -3.54%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 10:14
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.72%E -1.46%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.92%E -3.57%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 12:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.72%E -1.46%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.92%E -3.57%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 12:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -6.36%E -3.54%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -6.92%E -3.57%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 12:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -6.36%E -3.54%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -6.92%E -3.57%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 12:55
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -8.96%E -5.12%K -11.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 11:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-08-07 13:10
ProphetX1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.49%0.8%2026-08-07 13:05
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-07 12:50
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-08-07 12:35
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-08-07 08:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%2.3%2026-08-07 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%2.3%2026-08-07 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%2.3%2026-08-07 13:10
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 51.78%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.22%9.7%2026-08-07 12:55
Arbitrage (2 combinations) +0.02%DraftKings 1.91 (52.4%) / FanDuel 2.10 (47.6%)Show all 2 combinations
Washington Nationals (Local)Cincinnati Reds (Visit)Margin
DraftKings🎯 1.91 (52.4%)FanDuel🎯 2.10 (47.6%)+0.025%
DraftKings🎯 1.91 (52.4%)Dabble (AU)🎯 2.10 (47.6%)+0.025%