Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Washington Nationals v Cincinnati Reds

2026-08-07 22:46 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prévision 51.95%1.93cote équitable
EV +1.29%
Avantage +0.663%
Kelly +1.36%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.09%51.77%51.97%53.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.781.851.841.9556.18%54.01%54.35%51.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.05%2.08cote équitable
EV -1.49%
Avantage -0.726%
Kelly -1.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.48%48.23%48.03%50.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.831.961.982.0554.64%50.94%50.51%48.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Washington Nationals (Local) : 51.95% ; Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur) : 48.05%. Pour Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.08. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.15, pour une espérance positive de +3.32%.

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV +1.29%E +0.663%K +1.36%G +0.018%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -9.66%E -5.14%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 14:00
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV +0.254%E +0.132%K +0.273%G +0.001%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -9.66%E -5.14%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV +0.254%E +0.132%K +0.273%G +0.001%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -9.66%E -5.14%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 14:00
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV +0.254%E +0.132%K +0.273%G +0.001%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -9.66%E -5.14%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 13:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV +0.254%E +0.132%K +0.273%G +0.001%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -9.66%E -5.14%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 14:00
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV +0.254%E +0.132%K +0.273%G +0.001%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -10.14%E -5.42%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 14:00
DraftKings🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%EV -0.265%E -0.138%K -0.288%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%EV -2.93%E -1.45%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-07 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -0.265%E -0.138%K -0.288%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -7.25%E -3.76%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 14:00
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.785%E -0.411%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.22%E -4.30%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -0.785%E -0.411%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -11.10%E -6.00%K -13.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 14:00
Caesars🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -1.30%E -0.686%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.41%E -1.70%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-07 12:56
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -2.34%E -1.25%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -1.49%E -0.726%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-07 12:50
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -2.34%E -1.25%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -1.97%E -0.965%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-07 13:50
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.34%E -1.25%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.25%E -3.76%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 14:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.86%E -1.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.49%E -0.726%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 13:55
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.86%E -1.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.29%E -3.23%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 12:59
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.86%E -1.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.77%E -3.49%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 12:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.86%E -1.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.77%E -3.49%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 12:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -3.38%E -1.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -8.70%E -4.58%K -9.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 14:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.90%E -2.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.89%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.90%E -2.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.89%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 13:24
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.90%E -2.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.89%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.90%E -2.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.29%E -3.23%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 12:55
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.90%E -2.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.29%E -3.23%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 13:00
Bovada🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.42%E -2.40%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.37%E -2.20%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 13:54
BetAnything🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.42%E -2.40%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.37%E -2.20%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.42%E -2.40%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.85%E -2.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 12:55
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.42%E -2.40%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.85%E -2.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 13:55
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.89%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 10:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.89%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 10:50
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.89%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 10:50
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.89%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 09:40
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.89%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 10:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.85%E -2.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 13:54
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.85%E -2.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 10:05
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.85%E -2.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 10:05
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.85%E -2.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 11:50
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.85%E -2.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 12:55
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.29%E -3.23%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 08:49
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.29%E -3.23%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 12:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.29%E -3.23%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 13:00
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -12.06%E -6.59%K -14.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-07 14:00
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.89%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 10:20
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.37%E -2.20%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.37%E -2.20%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 12:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.81%E -2.97%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 12:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.81%E -2.97%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 12:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -5.98%E -3.30%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -1.01%E -0.489%K -0.950%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-07 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -5.98%E -3.30%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -1.49%E -0.726%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 13:55
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.89%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 09:00
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.89%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 12:34
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.89%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 08:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.89%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 08:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.89%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 09:00
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.29%E -3.23%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 10:13
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.29%E -3.23%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 10:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -6.77%E -3.49%K -7.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 12:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -6.77%E -3.49%K -7.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 12:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -10.65%E -6.19%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV +3.32%E +1.54%K +2.88%G +0.096%4.7%2026-08-07 13:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.49%0.8%2026-08-07 13:05
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-07 12:50
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-07 13:50
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-08-07 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.7%2026-08-07 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.7%2026-08-07 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.7%2026-08-07 13:55
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-08-07 08:50
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 51.78%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.22%9.7%2026-08-07 12:55