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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Washington Nationals v Cincinnati Reds

2026-08-07 22:46 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Predicción 52.00%1.92momio equitativo
EV -0.675%
Ventaja -0.353%
Kelly -0.742%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.92%52.04%52.00%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.721.821.831.9158.14%54.95%54.64%52.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Predicción 48.00%2.08momio equitativo
EV +3.19%
Ventaja +1.49%
Kelly +2.78%
Crecimiento +0.089%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.44%47.96%48.00%49.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.942.002.002.1551.55%49.96%50.00%46.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Washington Nationals (Local): 52.00%; Cincinnati Reds (Visitante): 48.00%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.08. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.15, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +3.19%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -10.56%E -6.14%K -14.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV +3.19%E +1.49%K +2.78%G +0.089%4.7%2026-08-07 13:30
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -7.44%E -4.18%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV +0.794%E +0.378%K +0.722%G +0.006%3.8%2026-08-07 13:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -6.92%E -3.86%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -0.166%E -0.080%K -0.153%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.96%E -4.49%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -0.646%E -0.312%K -0.603%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -5.88%E -3.25%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -1.13%E -0.546%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-07 13:55
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.44%E -4.18%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.13%E -0.546%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 13:55
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.44%E -4.18%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.13%E -0.546%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 13:55
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.44%E -4.18%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.13%E -0.546%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 13:55
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -2.23%E -1.19%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -1.61%E -0.783%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-07 12:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.75%E -1.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.61%E -0.783%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -5.88%E -3.25%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -1.61%E -0.783%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 13:55
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -2.23%E -1.19%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-07 13:50
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.40%E -3.55%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 13:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.40%E -3.55%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 13:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -9.52%E -5.47%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 13:55
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -0.675%E -0.353%K -0.742%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -3.05%E -1.51%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-07 13:00
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.92%E -3.86%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.05%E -1.51%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 13:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -9.00%E -5.14%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -3.05%E -1.51%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 13:55
Caesars🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -1.19%E -0.629%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.53%E -1.75%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-07 12:56
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.79%E -2.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.01%E -2.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.79%E -2.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.01%E -2.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 13:24
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.79%E -2.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.01%E -2.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 11:50
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.84%E -2.64%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.01%E -2.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 10:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.84%E -2.64%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.01%E -2.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 10:50
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.84%E -2.64%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.01%E -2.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 10:50
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.84%E -2.64%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.01%E -2.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 09:40
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.84%E -2.64%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.01%E -2.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 10:50
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.36%E -2.94%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.01%E -2.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 10:20
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.40%E -3.55%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.01%E -2.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 09:00
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.40%E -3.55%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.01%E -2.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 12:34
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.40%E -3.55%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.01%E -2.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 08:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.40%E -3.55%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.01%E -2.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 08:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.40%E -3.55%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.01%E -2.00%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 09:00
Bovada🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.32%E -2.35%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.49%E -2.25%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 13:54
BetAnything🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.32%E -2.35%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.49%E -2.25%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 13:55
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.36%E -2.94%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.49%E -2.25%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.36%E -2.94%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.49%E -2.25%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 12:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.32%E -2.35%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.97%E -2.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 12:55
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.32%E -2.35%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.97%E -2.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.84%E -2.64%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.97%E -2.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 13:54
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.84%E -2.64%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.97%E -2.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 10:05
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.84%E -2.64%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.97%E -2.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 10:05
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.84%E -2.64%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.97%E -2.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 11:50
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.84%E -2.64%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.97%E -2.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 12:55
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -10.56%E -6.14%K -14.66%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -5.45%E -2.76%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-07 13:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.36%E -2.94%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.93%E -3.02%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 12:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.36%E -2.94%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.93%E -3.02%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 12:55
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.75%E -1.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.41%E -3.28%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.79%E -2.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.41%E -3.28%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 12:55
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.79%E -2.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.41%E -3.28%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 13:00
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.84%E -2.64%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.41%E -3.28%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 08:49
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.84%E -2.64%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.41%E -3.28%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 12:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.84%E -2.64%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.41%E -3.28%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 13:00
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.40%E -3.55%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.41%E -3.28%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 10:13
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.40%E -3.55%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.41%E -3.28%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 10:14
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.75%E -1.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.89%E -3.55%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 12:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.75%E -1.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.89%E -3.55%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 12:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -6.40%E -3.55%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -6.89%E -3.55%K -7.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 12:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -6.40%E -3.55%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -6.89%E -3.55%K -7.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 12:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.49%0.8%2026-08-07 13:05
Polymarket◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-07 12:50
Novig◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-07 13:50
Matchbook◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-08-07 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.7%2026-08-07 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.7%2026-08-07 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.7%2026-08-07 13:55
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-08-07 08:50
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 51.78%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.22%9.7%2026-08-07 12:55
Arbitraje (9 combinaciones) +1.15%DraftKings 1.91 (53.0%) / Dabble (AU) 2.15 (47.0%)Ver las 9 combinaciones
Washington Nationals (Local)Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)Margen
DraftKings🎯 1.91 (53.0%)Dabble (AU)🎯 2.15 (47.0%)+1.15%
Caesars🎯 1.90 (53.1%)Dabble (AU)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)+0.864%
1xBet🎯 1.88 (53.3%)Dabble (AU)🎯 2.15 (46.7%)+0.298%
FanDuel🎯 1.88 (53.3%)Dabble (AU)🎯 2.15 (46.7%)+0.298%
DraftKings🎯 1.91 (52.4%)BetRivers🎯 2.10 (47.6%)+0.025%
Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.87 (53.5%)Dabble (AU)🎯 2.15 (46.5%)+0.012%
BetMGM🎯 1.87 (53.5%)Dabble (AU)🎯 2.15 (46.5%)+0.012%
Neds🎯 1.87 (53.5%)Dabble (AU)🎯 2.15 (46.5%)+0.012%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.87 (53.5%)Dabble (AU)🎯 2.15 (46.5%)+0.012%