Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals v Cincinnati Reds

Início: 2026-08-07 23:46 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 5–3 Cincinnati Reds

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Previsão 53.22%1.88odd justa
EV -1.54%
Vantagem -0.834%
Kelly -1.82%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%53.17%53.25%53.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.721.801.801.8558.14%55.51%55.56%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Previsão 46.78%2.14odd justa
EV -0.358%
Vantagem -0.168%
Kelly -0.317%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.13

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.05%46.83%46.75%48.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.902.032.042.1352.63%49.17%49.02%46.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Washington Nationals (Local): 53.22%; Cincinnati Reds (Visitante): 46.78%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.14. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.13, com valor esperado de -0.358%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%EV -1.54%E -0.834%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%EV -1.76%E -0.839%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-07 20:25
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -1.54%E -0.834%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -4.57%E -2.24%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-07 21:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -1.54%E -0.834%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -4.57%E -2.24%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-07 21:15
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%EV -2.61%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%EV -0.358%E -0.168%K -0.317%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-07 23:25
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.61%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -0.826%E -0.390%K -0.738%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-07 22:05
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.61%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.29%E -0.613%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-07 20:20
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.61%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.76%E -0.839%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 20:23
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.61%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.76%E -0.839%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 20:35
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.61%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.76%E -0.839%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.61%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.76%E -0.839%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 20:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.61%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.76%E -0.839%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 20:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.61%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.50%E -2.72%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 23:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.61%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.50%E -2.72%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 21:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.61%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.50%E -2.72%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 21:15
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.14%E -1.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 21:15
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.14%E -1.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.14%E -1.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 21:15
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.14%E -1.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 21:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.14%E -1.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 21:10
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.14%E -1.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 21:10
BetAnything🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -3.67%E -2.03%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -1.76%E -0.839%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-07 22:50
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.67%E -2.03%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 21:15
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.20%E -2.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.10%E -2.00%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 20:20
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.20%E -2.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.10%E -2.00%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 20:45
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.20%E -2.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.10%E -2.00%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.20%E -2.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.10%E -2.00%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 20:20
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.20%E -2.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.10%E -2.00%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 23:20
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.20%E -2.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.10%E -2.00%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 20:25
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.20%E -2.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.57%E -2.24%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 20:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.20%E -2.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.50%E -2.72%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 22:30
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.20%E -2.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.50%E -2.72%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.20%E -2.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.50%E -2.72%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 20:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.20%E -2.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 23:45
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.20%E -2.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 22:50
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.20%E -2.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.38%E -3.72%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 23:30
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.20%E -2.34%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.78%E -4.50%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 20:19
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.74%E -2.65%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.04%E -2.48%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 20:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -4.74%E -2.65%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -7.84%E -3.98%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 21:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -4.74%E -2.65%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -7.84%E -3.98%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 21:15
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.27%E -2.96%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.17%E -1.53%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 22:00
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.27%E -2.96%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.10%E -2.00%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 23:43
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.27%E -2.96%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.04%E -2.48%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 20:50
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.27%E -2.96%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.04%E -2.48%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 20:50
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.80%E -3.28%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.10%E -2.00%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 22:40
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.80%E -3.28%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.10%E -2.00%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 22:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.33%E -3.60%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.10%E -2.00%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 23:45
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.87%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.10%E -2.00%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 23:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.87%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.10%E -2.00%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 23:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.87%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.10%E -2.00%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 23:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.87%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.78%E -4.50%K -9.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 22:50
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -6.87%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -9.71%E -5.03%K -10.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 21:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -8.46%E -4.92%K -11.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.51%EV -11.12%E -5.85%K -12.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-07 23:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-08-07 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-08-07 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-08-07 23:10
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-07 22:35
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-07 21:45
ProphetX◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-08-07 23:35
Novig◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%2.0%2026-08-07 23:45
Matchbook◎1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%5.2%2026-08-07 23:30
Smarkets◎1.70I 58.82%NM 53.68%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%9.6%2026-08-07 23:45