Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Washington Nationals v Cincinnati Reds

2026-08-07 22:46 UTC — MLB

Победитель встречи

59 букмекерских контор (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Washington Nationals (Хозяева)

Прогноз 51.95%1.93справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.29%
Преимущество +0.663%
Kelly +1.36%
Рост +0.018%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.95

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
49.09%51.77%51.97%53.52%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.781.851.841.9556.18%54.01%54.35%51.28%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Cincinnati Reds (Гости)

Прогноз 48.05%2.08справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.49%
Преимущество -0.726%
Kelly -1.42%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.05

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
46.48%48.23%48.03%50.91%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.831.961.982.0554.64%50.94%50.51%48.78%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Для рынка «Победитель встречи» модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивает вероятности так: Washington Nationals (Хозяева): 51.95%; Cincinnati Reds (Гости): 48.05%. Для исхода «Cincinnati Reds (Гости)» эта оценка соответствует справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.08. 1 букмекер предлагает коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший доступный коэффициент — 2.15, что даёт положительное математическое ожидание +3.32%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (59 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV +1.29%E +0.663%K +1.36%G +0.018%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -9.66%E -5.14%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 14:00
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV +0.254%E +0.132%K +0.273%G +0.001%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -9.66%E -5.14%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV +0.254%E +0.132%K +0.273%G +0.001%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -9.66%E -5.14%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 14:00
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV +0.254%E +0.132%K +0.273%G +0.001%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -9.66%E -5.14%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 13:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV +0.254%E +0.132%K +0.273%G +0.001%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -9.66%E -5.14%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 14:00
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV +0.254%E +0.132%K +0.273%G +0.001%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -10.14%E -5.42%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 14:00
DraftKings🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%EV -0.265%E -0.138%K -0.288%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%EV -2.93%E -1.45%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-07 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -0.265%E -0.138%K -0.288%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -7.25%E -3.76%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 14:00
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.785%E -0.411%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.22%E -4.30%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -0.785%E -0.411%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -11.10%E -6.00%K -13.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 14:00
Caesars🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -1.30%E -0.686%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.41%E -1.70%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-07 12:56
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -2.34%E -1.25%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -1.49%E -0.726%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-07 12:50
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -2.34%E -1.25%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -1.97%E -0.965%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-07 13:50
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.34%E -1.25%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.25%E -3.76%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 14:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.86%E -1.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.49%E -0.726%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 13:55
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.86%E -1.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.29%E -3.23%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 12:59
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.86%E -1.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.77%E -3.49%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 12:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.86%E -1.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.77%E -3.49%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 12:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -3.38%E -1.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -8.70%E -4.58%K -9.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 14:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.90%E -2.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.89%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.90%E -2.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.89%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 13:24
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.90%E -2.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.89%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.90%E -2.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.29%E -3.23%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 12:55
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.90%E -2.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.29%E -3.23%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 13:00
Bovada🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.42%E -2.40%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.37%E -2.20%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 13:54
BetAnything🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.42%E -2.40%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.37%E -2.20%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.42%E -2.40%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.85%E -2.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 12:55
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.42%E -2.40%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.85%E -2.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 13:55
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.89%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 10:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.89%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 10:50
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.89%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 10:50
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.89%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 09:40
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.89%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 10:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.85%E -2.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 13:54
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.85%E -2.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 10:05
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.85%E -2.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 10:05
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.85%E -2.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 11:50
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.85%E -2.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 12:55
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.29%E -3.23%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 08:49
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.29%E -3.23%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 12:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.29%E -3.23%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 13:00
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -12.06%E -6.59%K -14.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-07 14:00
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.89%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 10:20
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.37%E -2.20%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.37%E -2.20%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 12:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.81%E -2.97%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 12:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.46%E -3.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.81%E -2.97%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 12:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -5.98%E -3.30%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -1.01%E -0.489%K -0.950%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-07 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -5.98%E -3.30%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -1.49%E -0.726%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 13:55
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.89%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 09:00
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.89%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 12:34
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.89%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 08:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.89%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 08:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.89%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 09:00
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.29%E -3.23%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 10:13
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.29%E -3.23%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 10:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -6.77%E -3.49%K -7.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 12:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -6.50%E -3.61%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -6.77%E -3.49%K -7.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 12:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -10.65%E -6.19%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV +3.32%E +1.54%K +2.88%G +0.096%4.7%2026-08-07 13:30
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (9)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
ProphetX1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.49%0.8%2026-08-07 13:05
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-07 12:50
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-07 13:50
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-08-07 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.7%2026-08-07 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.7%2026-08-07 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.7%2026-08-07 13:55
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-08-07 08:50
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 51.78%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.22%9.7%2026-08-07 12:55