The School of Odds
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Washington Nationals v Chicago Cubs

2026-08-13 20:06 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prediction 44.10%2.27fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.747%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.59%44.12%44.15%45.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.172.172.2348.78%46.18%46.08%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Visit)

Prediction 55.90%1.79fair odd
EV +0.628%
Edge +0.349%
Kelly +0.785%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.43%55.88%55.85%56.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.711.701.8060.98%58.53%58.82%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Washington Nationals (Local): 44.10%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 55.90%. For Chicago Cubs (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.80, producing a positive expected value of +0.628%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV +0.628%E +0.349%K +0.785%G +0.005%2.1%2026-08-12 23:24
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.99%E -1.36%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.05%E -0.593%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 19:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.99%E -1.36%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.05%E -0.593%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 20:09
GTbets🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.67%E -0.747%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.17%E -1.24%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 21:49
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.11%E -0.949%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.17%E -1.24%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-12 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.55%E -1.15%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.17%E -1.24%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-12 21:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.55%E -1.15%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.17%E -1.24%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-12 21:50
BetUS🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.55%E -1.15%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.17%E -1.24%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-12 23:54
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.73%E -1.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 19:19
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.73%E -1.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-13 00:24
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.87%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.84%E -2.24%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 18:35
MyBookie.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.87%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.84%E -2.24%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-13 00:14
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.84%E -2.24%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 23:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.84%E -2.24%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 23:50
Bet Right🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.64%E -2.63%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.84%E -2.24%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 18:40
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.40%E -3.52%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.84%E -2.24%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 18:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.99%E -1.36%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.40%E -2.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 18:34
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.99%E -1.36%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.40%E -2.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 21:59
Bovada🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.31%E -1.99%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.40%E -2.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 18:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.40%E -2.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 22:00
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.40%E -2.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 00:15
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.40%E -2.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.40%E -2.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 18:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.40%E -2.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 18:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.64%E -2.63%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.40%E -2.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 00:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.99%E -1.36%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 23:50
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.99%E -1.36%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 23:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.99%E -1.36%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 00:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.99%E -1.36%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 00:40
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.99%E -1.36%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 00:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.99%E -1.36%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 00:40
DraftKings🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.87%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.87%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 00:40
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.87%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 00:40
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.87%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 00:40
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.87%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 00:40
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.87%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 00:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.87%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 00:40
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 21:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 21:59
BetMGM🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.87%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.52%E -3.27%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 23:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.08%E -2.85%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.52%E -3.27%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 21:58
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.31%E -1.99%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 00:40
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.64%E -3.98%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 18:34
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.64%E -3.98%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 22:00
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.64%E -3.98%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 21:58
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -5.64%E -2.63%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -6.64%E -3.98%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 00:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -5.64%E -2.63%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -6.64%E -3.98%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 00:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -9.60%E -4.68%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -7.20%E -4.34%K -10.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-12 21:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.60%E -4.68%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.76%E -4.70%K -11.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-12 22:00
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -7.40%E -3.52%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -8.32%E -5.07%K -13.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-13 00:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%0.9%2026-08-13 00:50
Polymarket◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-13 00:05
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-13 00:05
ProphetX◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-08-13 01:00
Matchbook◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%2.9%2026-08-12 22:20
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%9.1%2026-08-13 01:00

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