Język:Polski
Washington Nationals v Chicago Cubs
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Washington Nationals (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 42.14%2.37kurs godziwy
EV -0.549%
Przewaga -0.233%
Kelly -0.404%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.36
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
41.03%42.16%42.11%43.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.182.272.272.3645.87%44.03%44.05%42.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Chicago Cubs (Goście)
Prognoza 57.86%1.73kurs godziwy
EV -1.64%
Przewaga -0.964%
Kelly -2.34%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.70
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
56.41%57.84%57.89%58.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.561.651.651.7064.10%60.66%60.61%58.82%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Washington Nationals (Gospodarze): 42.14%; Chicago Cubs (Goście): 57.86%. Dla wyniku Washington Nationals (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.37. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 2.36, przy wartości oczekiwanej -0.549%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.
Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -0.549%E -0.233%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.970%E -0.413%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.22%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-13 13:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.970%E -0.413%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.22%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-13 20:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -0.970%E -0.413%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-13 19:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.970%E -0.413%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-13 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.970%E -0.413%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -1.81%E -0.778%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -5.69%E -3.49%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -1.81%E -0.778%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -5.69%E -3.49%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.23%E -0.963%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 19:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.23%E -0.963%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.23%E -0.963%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 19:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.23%E -0.963%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 19:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.23%E -0.963%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 19:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.23%E -0.963%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.64%E -0.964%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-13 13:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.64%E -0.964%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-13 19:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-13 15:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -3.95%E -2.38%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -1.64%E -0.964%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-13 13:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -1.64%E -0.964%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-13 13:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-13 19:58 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-13 19:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.85%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 19:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.85%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 13:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.50%E -1.53%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.64%E -0.964%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-13 19:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -2.22%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-13 15:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.69%E -3.49%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-13 20:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.34%E -1.91%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-13 19:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.34%E -1.91%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-13 19:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.34%E -1.91%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.11%E -3.12%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 19:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.76%E -2.11%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-13 19:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.76%E -2.11%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.11%E -3.12%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-13 19:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.22%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-13 12:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 12:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 12:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 20:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 20:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.11%E -3.12%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 14:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.11%E -3.12%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 19:48 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.69%E -3.49%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 19:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 20:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 19:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 17:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -6.03%E -2.70%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -9.74%E -6.24%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-13 18:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.64%E -0.964%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 12:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 19:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 20:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-13 19:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-13 19:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-13 20:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 19:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.13%E -3.73%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 12:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.13%E -3.73%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 12:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -8.13%E -3.73%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -8.13%E -3.73%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -6.85%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-13 19:47 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (10)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-08-13 13:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-08-13 13:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 1.2% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.33% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.67% | 1.4% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 1.5% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78% | 2.4% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 20:04 |