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Washington Nationals v Chicago Cubs
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Washington Nationals (Хозяева)
Прогноз 42.14%2.37справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.549%
Преимущество -0.233%
Kelly -0.404%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.36
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
41.03%42.16%42.11%43.59%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.182.272.272.3645.87%44.03%44.05%42.37%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Chicago Cubs (Гости)
Прогноз 57.86%1.73справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.64%
Преимущество -0.964%
Kelly -2.34%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.70
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
56.41%57.84%57.89%58.97%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.561.651.651.7064.10%60.66%60.61%58.82%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Washington Nationals (Хозяева): 42.14%; Chicago Cubs (Гости): 57.86%. Для исхода «Washington Nationals (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.37. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 2.36, математическое ожидание — -0.549%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -0.549%E -0.233%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.970%E -0.413%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.22%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-13 13:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.970%E -0.413%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.22%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-13 20:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -0.970%E -0.413%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-13 19:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.970%E -0.413%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-13 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.970%E -0.413%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -1.81%E -0.778%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -5.69%E -3.49%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -1.81%E -0.778%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -5.69%E -3.49%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.23%E -0.963%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 19:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.23%E -0.963%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.23%E -0.963%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 19:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.23%E -0.963%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 19:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.23%E -0.963%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 19:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.23%E -0.963%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.64%E -0.964%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-13 13:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.64%E -0.964%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-13 19:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-13 15:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -3.95%E -2.38%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -1.64%E -0.964%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-13 13:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -1.64%E -0.964%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-13 13:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-13 19:58 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-13 19:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.85%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 19:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.85%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 13:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.50%E -1.53%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.64%E -0.964%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-13 19:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -2.22%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-13 15:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.69%E -3.49%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-13 20:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.34%E -1.91%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-13 19:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.34%E -1.91%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-13 19:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.34%E -1.91%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.11%E -3.12%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 19:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.76%E -2.11%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-13 19:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.76%E -2.11%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.11%E -3.12%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-13 19:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.22%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-13 12:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 12:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 12:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 20:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 20:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.11%E -3.12%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 14:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.11%E -3.12%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 19:48 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.69%E -3.49%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 19:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 20:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 19:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 17:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -6.03%E -2.70%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -9.74%E -6.24%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-13 18:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.64%E -0.964%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 12:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 19:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 20:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-13 19:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-13 19:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-13 20:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 19:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.13%E -3.73%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 12:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.13%E -3.73%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 12:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -8.13%E -3.73%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -8.13%E -3.73%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -6.85%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-13 19:47 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-08-13 13:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-08-13 13:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 1.2% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.33% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.67% | 1.4% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 1.5% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78% | 2.4% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 20:04 |