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Washington Nationals v Chicago Cubs
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Washington Nationals (Local)
Predicción 42.14%2.37momio equitativo
EV -0.549%
Ventaja -0.233%
Kelly -0.404%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.03%42.16%42.11%43.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.182.272.272.3645.87%44.03%44.05%42.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Chicago Cubs (Visitante)
Predicción 57.86%1.73momio equitativo
EV -1.64%
Ventaja -0.964%
Kelly -2.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.41%57.84%57.89%58.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.561.651.651.7064.10%60.66%60.61%58.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Washington Nationals (Local): 42.14%; Chicago Cubs (Visitante): 57.86%. Para Washington Nationals (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.37. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.36, con un valor esperado de -0.549%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -0.549%E -0.233%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.970%E -0.413%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.22%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-13 13:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.970%E -0.413%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.22%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-13 20:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -0.970%E -0.413%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-13 19:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.970%E -0.413%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-13 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.970%E -0.413%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -1.81%E -0.778%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -5.69%E -3.49%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -1.81%E -0.778%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -5.69%E -3.49%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.23%E -0.963%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 19:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.23%E -0.963%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.23%E -0.963%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 19:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.23%E -0.963%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 19:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.23%E -0.963%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 19:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.23%E -0.963%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.64%E -0.964%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-13 13:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.64%E -0.964%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-13 19:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-13 15:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -3.95%E -2.38%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -1.64%E -0.964%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-13 13:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -1.64%E -0.964%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-13 13:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-13 19:58 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-13 19:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.85%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 19:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.85%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 13:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.50%E -1.53%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.64%E -0.964%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-13 19:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -2.22%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-13 15:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.69%E -3.49%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-13 20:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 19:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.34%E -1.91%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-13 19:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.34%E -1.91%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-13 19:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.34%E -1.91%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.11%E -3.12%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 19:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.76%E -2.11%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-13 19:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.76%E -2.11%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.11%E -3.12%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-13 19:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.22%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-13 12:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 12:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 12:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 20:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 20:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.11%E -3.12%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 14:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.11%E -3.12%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 19:48 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.69%E -3.49%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 19:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 20:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 19:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 17:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -6.03%E -2.70%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -9.74%E -6.24%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-13 18:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.64%E -0.964%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 12:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 19:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 20:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-13 19:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-13 19:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-13 20:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 19:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.13%E -3.73%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 12:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.13%E -3.73%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 12:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -8.13%E -3.73%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -8.13%E -3.73%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -6.85%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-13 19:47 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-08-13 13:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-08-13 13:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 1.2% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.33% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.67% | 1.4% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 1.5% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78% | 2.4% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 20:04 |