Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals v Chicago Cubs

2026-08-13 20:06 UTC — MLB

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Previsão 44.12%2.27odd justa
EV -1.62%
Vantagem -0.725%
Kelly -1.31%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.59%44.13%44.19%45.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.172.172.2348.78%46.16%46.08%44.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Previsão 55.88%1.79odd justa
EV -1.09%
Vantagem -0.616%
Kelly -1.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.97%55.87%55.81%56.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.641.711.701.7760.98%58.56%58.82%56.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Washington Nationals (Local): 44.12%; Chicago Cubs (Visitante): 55.88%. Para Chicago Cubs (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 1.79. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 1.77, com valor esperado de -1.09%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.62%E -0.725%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.21%E -1.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 21:49
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.06%E -0.927%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.21%E -1.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-12 22:10
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.50%E -1.13%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.65%E -0.937%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-13 01:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.50%E -1.13%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.21%E -1.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-12 21:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.50%E -1.13%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.21%E -1.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-12 21:50
BetUS🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.50%E -1.13%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.21%E -1.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-12 23:54
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.09%E -0.616%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 19:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.09%E -0.616%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 20:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 18:34
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 23:50
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 23:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 00:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 00:40
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 00:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 00:40
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.88%E -2.26%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 18:35
MyBookie.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.88%E -2.26%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-13 00:14
DraftKings🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 00:40
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 00:40
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 00:40
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 00:40
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 00:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 00:40
BetMGM🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.56%E -3.29%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 23:50
Bovada🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.26%E -1.96%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 18:54
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.26%E -1.96%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.12%E -3.64%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 00:40
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 19:19
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-13 00:24
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.88%E -2.26%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 23:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.88%E -2.26%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 23:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 22:00
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 00:15
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 18:40
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 01:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 18:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 18:39
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 01:44
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 21:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 21:59
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 18:34
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 22:00
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 21:58
Marathon Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.59%E -2.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 00:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -5.59%E -2.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 00:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -5.59%E -2.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 00:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.03%E -2.83%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.56%E -3.29%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 21:58
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.88%E -2.26%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 18:35
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -8.35%E -5.09%K -13.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-13 00:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -9.56%E -4.66%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -7.24%E -4.36%K -10.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-12 21:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.56%E -4.66%K -9.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.80%E -4.72%K -11.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-12 22:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%0.3%2026-08-13 01:35
ProphetX2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-08-13 01:40
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-13 00:05
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-13 00:05
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%2.9%2026-08-12 22:20
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%9.1%2026-08-13 01:55

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