Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals v Chicago Cubs

Início: 2026-08-13 20:06 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 7–0 Chicago Cubs

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Previsão 42.14%2.37odd justa
EV -0.549%
Vantagem -0.233%
Kelly -0.404%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.03%42.16%42.11%43.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.182.272.272.3645.87%44.03%44.05%42.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Previsão 57.86%1.73odd justa
EV -1.64%
Vantagem -0.964%
Kelly -2.34%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.41%57.84%57.89%58.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.561.651.651.7064.10%60.66%60.61%58.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Washington Nationals (Local): 42.14%; Chicago Cubs (Visitante): 57.86%. Para Washington Nationals (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.37. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.36, com valor esperado de -0.549%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -0.549%E -0.233%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-13 20:05
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.970%E -0.413%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.22%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-13 13:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.970%E -0.413%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.22%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-13 20:00
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -0.970%E -0.413%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-13 19:59
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.970%E -0.413%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-13 19:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.970%E -0.413%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-13 19:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -1.81%E -0.778%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -5.69%E -3.49%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 19:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -1.81%E -0.778%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -5.69%E -3.49%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 19:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.23%E -0.963%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 19:05
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.23%E -0.963%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 19:04
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.23%E -0.963%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 19:05
Bally Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.23%E -0.963%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 19:05
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.23%E -0.963%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 19:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.23%E -0.963%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 19:04
GTbets🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.64%E -0.964%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-13 13:20
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.64%E -0.964%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-13 19:34
theScore Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-13 15:45
DraftKings🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -3.95%E -2.38%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-13 20:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -1.64%E -0.964%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-13 13:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -1.64%E -0.964%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-13 13:20
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 19:58
Dabble (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 19:34
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.85%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 19:55
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.85%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 19:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-13 13:34
BetUS🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.50%E -1.53%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.64%E -0.964%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-13 19:59
BetAnything🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -2.22%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-13 15:54
SportsBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.69%E -3.49%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 20:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 19:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 19:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.34%E -1.91%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-13 19:49
MyBookie.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.34%E -1.91%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-13 19:54
Coolbet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.34%E -1.91%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.11%E -3.12%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 19:49
Bet Right🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.76%E -2.11%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 19:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.76%E -2.11%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.11%E -3.12%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 19:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.22%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-13 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 12:44
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 12:45
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 13:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 13:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 20:04
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 20:05
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 20:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.11%E -3.12%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 14:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.11%E -3.12%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 19:48
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.69%E -3.49%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 19:54
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 20:04
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 19:48
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 17:39
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -6.03%E -2.70%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -9.74%E -6.24%K -17.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-13 18:34
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.64%E -0.964%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 12:40
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 19:30
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 20:05
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-13 19:59
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-13 19:59
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.53%E -2.75%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-13 20:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.29%E -3.31%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 19:49
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.13%E -3.73%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 12:39
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.13%E -3.73%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.80%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 12:40
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -8.13%E -3.73%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 20:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -8.13%E -3.73%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -6.85%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-13 19:47
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-08-13 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-08-13 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-08-13 20:05
Polymarket◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-13 13:35
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-13 13:40
ProphetX◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%1.2%2026-08-13 20:05
Novig◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.33%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.67%1.4%2026-08-13 20:05
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%1.5%2026-08-13 20:05
Matchbook◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.4%2026-08-13 20:05
BetOpenly◎2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%3.8%2026-08-13 20:04