Language:English
Washington Nationals v Baltimore Orioles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Washington Nationals (Local)
Prediction 47.79%2.09fair odd
EV +0.358%
Edge +0.170%
Kelly +0.325%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%47.82%47.78%49.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.012.002.1052.63%49.78%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Baltimore Orioles (Visit)
Prediction 52.21%1.92fair odd
EV -0.800%
Edge -0.421%
Kelly -0.889%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.53%52.18%52.22%54.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.821.821.9058.48%54.93%54.95%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Nationals (Local): 47.79%; Baltimore Orioles (Visit): 52.21%. For Washington Nationals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.358%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +0.358%E +0.170%K +0.325%G +0.001% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.59%E -4.29%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 15:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.358%E +0.170%K +0.325%G +0.001% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.68%E -5.59%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 18:31 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.358%E +0.170%K +0.325%G +0.001% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.68%E -5.59%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 23:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.08%E -0.520%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.41%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-17 17:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.08%E -0.520%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.41%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-17 17:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.55%E -0.754%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.37%E -1.27%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-17 17:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.55%E -0.754%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.37%E -1.27%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.55%E -0.754%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.41%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-17 17:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.55%E -0.754%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.41%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-17 17:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.03%E -0.991%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.02%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 13:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.03%E -0.991%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.02%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 17:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.03%E -0.991%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.02%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 16:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.03%E -0.991%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.59%E -4.29%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 15:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.03%E -0.991%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.63%E -4.93%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 06:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -2.03%E -0.991%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -10.72%E -6.27%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 17:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.84%E -0.981%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-17 17:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.41%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-17 16:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.47%E -1.72%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.47%E -1.72%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 16:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.47%E -1.72%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-17 15:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.47%E -1.72%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-17 17:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.47%E -1.72%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.54%E -3.66%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.47%E -1.72%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.54%E -3.66%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 17:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.94%E -1.96%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -0.800%E -0.421%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-17 16:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -3.94%E -1.96%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.93%E -2.14%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 15:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.41%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 17:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 15:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 15:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 15:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 17:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 16:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 16:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 16:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 16:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 17:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 17:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.50%E -3.04%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 15:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.50%E -3.04%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 16:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.50%E -3.04%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.50%E -3.04%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.50%E -3.04%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.50%E -3.04%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 16:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.02%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 15:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.02%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.02%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.02%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 15:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.90%E -2.46%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -6.81%E -3.49%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -0.800%E -0.421%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.81%E -3.49%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.41%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.81%E -3.49%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.02%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 15:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -7.29%E -3.76%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -7.07%E -3.97%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.77%E -4.02%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.24%E -4.29%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.84%E -0.981%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.72%E -4.57%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.37%E -1.27%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -9.20%E -4.84%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -2.89%E -1.55%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.20%E -4.84%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.41%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 17:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 15:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28% | 1.7% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28% | 1.7% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31% | 2.8% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.55% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.45% | 2.8% | 2026-05-17 17:34 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |