L’École des cotes

Washington Nationals v Baltimore Orioles

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 17:36 UTC

Score final : Washington Nationals 3–7 Baltimore Orioles

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prévision 47.79%2.09cote équitable
EV +0.358%
Avantage +0.170%
Kelly +0.325%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.17%47.82%47.78%49.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.012.002.1052.63%49.78%50.00%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.21%1.92cote équitable
EV -0.800%
Avantage -0.421%
Kelly -0.889%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.53%52.18%52.22%54.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.711.821.821.9058.48%54.93%54.95%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +0.358%E +0.170%K +0.325%G +0.001%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.59%E -4.29%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 15:10
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.358%E +0.170%K +0.325%G +0.001%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.68%E -5.59%K -13.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 18:31
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.358%E +0.170%K +0.325%G +0.001%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.68%E -5.59%K -13.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 23:40
GTbets2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.08%E -0.520%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.41%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 17:19
BetAnything2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.08%E -0.520%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.41%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 17:20
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.55%E -0.754%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.37%E -1.27%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-17 17:10
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.55%E -0.754%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.37%E -1.27%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-17 17:25
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.55%E -0.754%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.41%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-17 17:19
BetOnline.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.55%E -0.754%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.41%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-17 17:20
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.03%E -0.991%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.02%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 13:45
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.03%E -0.991%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.02%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:19
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.03%E -0.991%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.02%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:44
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.03%E -0.991%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.59%E -4.29%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 15:05
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.03%E -0.991%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.63%E -4.93%K -11.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 06:05
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -2.03%E -0.991%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -10.72%E -6.27%K -15.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 17:24
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.84%E -0.981%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 17:34
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.41%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 16:20
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.47%E -1.72%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 15:10
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.47%E -1.72%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 16:20
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.47%E -1.72%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 15:10
Bovada2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.47%E -1.72%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 17:34
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.47%E -1.72%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.54%E -3.66%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 17:20
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.47%E -1.72%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.54%E -3.66%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 17:20
Everygame2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.94%E -1.96%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -0.800%E -0.421%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 16:30
MyBookie.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -3.94%E -1.96%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.93%E -2.14%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 15:08
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.41%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 17:34
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 15:50
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 15:00
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 15:00
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:30
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:30
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 15:00
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:20
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:19
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:20
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:20
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:20
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:19
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 17:30
Dabble (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 17:15
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.50%E -3.04%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 15:05
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.50%E -3.04%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 16:20
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.50%E -3.04%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 17:35
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.50%E -3.04%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 17:35
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.50%E -3.04%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 16:20
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.50%E -3.04%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 16:20
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.02%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 15:10
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.02%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 15:00
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.02%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 15:10
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.02%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 15:10
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.90%E -2.46%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 17:20
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -6.81%E -3.49%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -0.800%E -0.421%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 17:35
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.81%E -3.49%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.41%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:35
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.81%E -3.49%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.02%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 15:09
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -7.29%E -3.76%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -7.07%E -3.97%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 17:35
DraftKings1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.77%E -4.02%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 17:35
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.24%E -4.29%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.84%E -0.981%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:35
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.72%E -4.57%K -9.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.37%E -1.27%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 17:35
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -9.20%E -4.84%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -2.89%E -1.55%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 17:35
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.20%E -4.84%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.41%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 17:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-17 15:00
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-17 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-17 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-17 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-17 17:35
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%1.7%2026-05-17 17:35
ProphetX2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%1.7%2026-05-17 17:35
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%2.8%2026-05-17 17:35
BetOpenly2.09I 47.85%NM 46.55%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.45%2.8%2026-05-17 17:34
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%4.9%2026-05-17 17:35