La scuola delle quote

Washington Nationals v Baltimore Orioles

Inizio: 2026-05-17 17:36 UTC

Finale: Washington Nationals 3–7 Baltimore Orioles

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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62 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Washington Nationals (Casa)

Previsione 47.79%2.09quota equa
EV +0.358%
Vantaggio +0.170%
Kelly +0.325%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.17%47.82%47.78%49.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.902.012.002.1052.63%49.78%50.00%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Baltimore Orioles (Trasferta)

Previsione 52.21%1.92quota equa
EV -0.800%
Vantaggio -0.421%
Kelly -0.889%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.53%52.18%52.22%54.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.711.821.821.9058.48%54.93%54.95%52.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +0.358%E +0.170%K +0.325%G +0.001%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.59%E -4.29%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 15:10
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.358%E +0.170%K +0.325%G +0.001%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.68%E -5.59%K -13.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 18:31
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.358%E +0.170%K +0.325%G +0.001%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.68%E -5.59%K -13.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 23:40
GTbets2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.08%E -0.520%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.41%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 17:19
BetAnything2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.08%E -0.520%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.41%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 17:20
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.55%E -0.754%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.37%E -1.27%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-17 17:10
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.55%E -0.754%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.37%E -1.27%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-17 17:25
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.55%E -0.754%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.41%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-17 17:19
BetOnline.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.55%E -0.754%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.41%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-17 17:20
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.03%E -0.991%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.02%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 13:45
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.03%E -0.991%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.02%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:19
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.03%E -0.991%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.02%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:44
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.03%E -0.991%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.59%E -4.29%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 15:05
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.03%E -0.991%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.63%E -4.93%K -11.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 06:05
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -2.03%E -0.991%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -10.72%E -6.27%K -15.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 17:24
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.84%E -0.981%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 17:34
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.41%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 16:20
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.47%E -1.72%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 15:10
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.47%E -1.72%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 16:20
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.47%E -1.72%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 15:10
Bovada2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.47%E -1.72%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 17:34
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.47%E -1.72%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.54%E -3.66%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 17:20
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.47%E -1.72%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.54%E -3.66%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 17:20
Everygame2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.94%E -1.96%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -0.800%E -0.421%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 16:30
MyBookie.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -3.94%E -1.96%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.93%E -2.14%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 15:08
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.41%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 17:34
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 15:50
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 15:00
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 15:00
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:30
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:30
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 15:00
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:20
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:19
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:20
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:20
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:20
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:19
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 17:30
Dabble (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 17:15
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.50%E -3.04%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 15:05
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.50%E -3.04%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 16:20
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.50%E -3.04%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 17:35
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.50%E -3.04%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 17:35
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.50%E -3.04%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 16:20
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.50%E -3.04%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 16:20
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.02%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 15:10
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.02%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 15:00
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.02%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 15:10
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.02%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 15:10
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.90%E -2.46%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 17:20
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -6.81%E -3.49%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -0.800%E -0.421%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 17:35
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.81%E -3.49%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.41%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:35
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.81%E -3.49%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.02%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 15:09
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -7.29%E -3.76%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -7.07%E -3.97%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 17:35
DraftKings1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.77%E -4.02%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 17:35
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.24%E -4.29%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.84%E -0.981%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:35
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.72%E -4.57%K -9.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.37%E -1.27%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 17:35
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -9.20%E -4.84%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -2.89%E -1.55%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 17:35
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.20%E -4.84%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.41%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 17:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-17 15:00
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-17 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-17 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-17 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-17 17:35
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%1.7%2026-05-17 17:35
ProphetX2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%1.7%2026-05-17 17:35
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%2.8%2026-05-17 17:35
BetOpenly2.09I 47.85%NM 46.55%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.45%2.8%2026-05-17 17:34
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%4.9%2026-05-17 17:35