StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Washington Nationals v Baltimore Orioles

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-17 17:36 UTC

Endstand: Washington Nationals 3–7 Baltimore Orioles

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Washington Nationals (Heim)

Prognose 47.79%2.09faire Quote
EV +0.358%
Vorteil +0.170%
Kelly +0.325%
Wachstum +0.001%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
45.17%47.82%47.78%49.47%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.902.012.002.1052.63%49.78%50.00%47.62%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Baltimore Orioles (Auswärts)

Prognose 52.21%1.92faire Quote
EV -0.800%
Vorteil -0.421%
Kelly -0.889%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.90

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
50.53%52.18%52.22%54.83%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.711.821.821.9058.48%54.93%54.95%52.63%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Washington Nationals (Heim): 47.79%; Baltimore Orioles (Auswärts): 52.21%. Für Washington Nationals (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.09. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.10 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.358%.

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +0.358%E +0.170%K +0.325%G +0.001%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.59%E -4.29%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 15:10
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.358%E +0.170%K +0.325%G +0.001%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.68%E -5.59%K -13.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 18:31
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.358%E +0.170%K +0.325%G +0.001%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.68%E -5.59%K -13.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 23:40
GTbets🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.08%E -0.520%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.41%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 17:19
BetAnything🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.08%E -0.520%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.41%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 17:20
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.55%E -0.754%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.37%E -1.27%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-17 17:10
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.55%E -0.754%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.37%E -1.27%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-17 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.55%E -0.754%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.41%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-17 17:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.55%E -0.754%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.41%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-17 17:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.03%E -0.991%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.02%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 13:45
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.03%E -0.991%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.02%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:19
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.03%E -0.991%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.02%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:44
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.03%E -0.991%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.59%E -4.29%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 15:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.03%E -0.991%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.63%E -4.93%K -11.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 06:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -2.03%E -0.991%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -10.72%E -6.27%K -15.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 17:24
BetUS🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.84%E -0.981%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 17:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.41%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 16:20
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.47%E -1.72%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 15:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.47%E -1.72%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 16:20
Bet Right🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.47%E -1.72%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 15:10
Bovada🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.47%E -1.72%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 17:34
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.47%E -1.72%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.54%E -3.66%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 17:20
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.47%E -1.72%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.54%E -3.66%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 17:20
Everygame🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.94%E -1.96%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -0.800%E -0.421%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 16:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -3.94%E -1.96%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -3.93%E -2.14%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 15:08
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.41%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 17:34
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 15:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 15:00
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 15:00
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:30
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 17:30
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 15:00
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:20
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:19
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:20
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:20
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:19
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 17:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 17:15
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.50%E -3.04%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 15:05
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.50%E -3.04%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 16:20
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.50%E -3.04%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 17:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.50%E -3.04%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.50%E -3.04%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.50%E -3.04%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 16:20
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.02%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 15:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.02%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.02%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.42%E -2.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.02%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 15:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.90%E -2.46%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.98%E -2.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 17:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -6.81%E -3.49%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -0.800%E -0.421%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 17:35
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.81%E -3.49%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.41%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:35
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.81%E -3.49%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.02%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 15:09
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -7.29%E -3.76%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -7.07%E -3.97%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 17:35
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.77%E -4.02%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -4.45%E -2.43%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 17:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.24%E -4.29%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.84%E -0.981%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:35
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.72%E -4.57%K -9.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.37%E -1.27%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 17:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -9.20%E -4.84%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -2.89%E -1.55%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 17:35
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.20%E -4.84%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.41%E -1.84%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 17:29
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-17 15:00
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-17 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-17 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-17 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-17 17:35
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%1.7%2026-05-17 17:35
ProphetX2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%1.7%2026-05-17 17:35
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%2.8%2026-05-17 17:35
BetOpenly2.09I 47.85%NM 46.55%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.45%2.8%2026-05-17 17:34
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%4.9%2026-05-17 17:35