The School of Odds

Washington Nationals v Arizona Diamondbacks

2026-07-25 20:06 UTC — MLB

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Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prediction 55.05%1.82fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.812%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%55.07%55.06%56.39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.681.731.731.7960%58%58%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)

Prediction 44.95%2.22fair odd
EV +1.13%
Edge +0.501%
Kelly +0.902%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.61%44.93%44.94%46.34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.002.122.102.2550%47%48%44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -4.21%E -2.42%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +1.13%E +0.501%K +0.902%G +0.010%1.9%2026-07-24 20:10
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -4.21%E -2.42%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -0.221%E -0.099%K -0.181%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-24 20:10
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -4.21%E -2.42%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -0.221%E -0.099%K -0.181%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-24 20:10
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.45%E -0.812%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.47%E -1.14%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-24 18:05
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.65%E -2.09%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -2.92%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-24 18:40
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-24 20:15
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.21%E -2.42%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-24 20:09
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.21%E -2.42%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-24 19:49
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.21%E -2.42%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-24 20:15
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.86%E -3.43%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 20:10
DraftKings1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.76%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.82%E -1.78%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-24 20:15
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.76%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.72%E -2.22%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 20:15
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.76%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.72%E -2.22%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 20:15
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 17:55
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.65%E -2.09%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 20:15
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.76%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 17:49
betano_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.76%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 20:13
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.76%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 20:13
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.76%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 18:05
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.76%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 18:05
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.76%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 18:05
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.76%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 18:05
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.76%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 18:40
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.31%E -3.09%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 18:40
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.31%E -3.09%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 20:15
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.86%E -3.43%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-24 20:15
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.31%E -3.09%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -6.06%E -2.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 20:15
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.86%E -3.83%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 19:35
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -7.51%E -4.47%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 20:14
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -7.51%E -4.47%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 20:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-24 19:40
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-07-24 20:15
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%3.7%2026-07-24 20:25
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%10.2%2026-07-24 20:15