Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Washington Nationals v Arizona Diamondbacks

Początek: 2026-07-25 20:06 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Washington Nationals 5–3 Arizona Diamondbacks

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

64 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Washington Nationals (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 55.46%1.80kurs godziwy
EV -0.728%
Przewaga -0.407%
Kelly -0.921%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.79

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
54.38%55.61%55.38%58.23%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.651.731.731.7960.61%57.94%57.64%55.87%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Goście)

Prognoza 44.54%2.25kurs godziwy
EV +2.44%
Przewaga +1.06%
Kelly +1.88%
Wzrost +0.046%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.30

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
41.77%44.39%44.62%45.62%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.052.142.152.3048.78%46.75%46.51%43.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Washington Nationals (Gospodarze): 55.46%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Goście): 44.54%. Dla wyniku Arizona Diamondbacks (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.25. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.30, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +2.44%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -8.49%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +2.44%E +1.06%K +1.88%G +0.046%4.1%2026-07-25 20:05
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.12%E -0.504%K -0.918%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-25 16:15
BetAnything🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -1.12%E -0.504%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-25 20:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -1.12%E -0.504%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 20:05
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.39%E -1.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.56%E -0.708%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-25 20:05
Everygame🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.28%E -0.721%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -2.46%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-25 19:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.39%E -1.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.46%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-25 20:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.39%E -1.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.46%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-25 20:05
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 20:04
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -0.728%E -0.407%K -0.921%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -3.35%E -1.54%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-25 20:04
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-25 18:50
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-25 17:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 20:00
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 20:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 20:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 17:24
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 17:10
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 19:25
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 19:25
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 18:40
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 19:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 19:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 19:30
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 19:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 16:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 19:40
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 19:55
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 20:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.83%E -4.06%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 20:05
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 18:50
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.49%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:53
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.49%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:54
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.49%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 20:05
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -1.28%E -0.721%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -4.68%E -2.19%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-25 19:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -1.28%E -0.721%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -4.68%E -2.19%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-25 19:50
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.68%E -2.19%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 20:00
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.68%E -2.19%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 19:35
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.68%E -2.19%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 18:50
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -5.13%E -2.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 20:03
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 19:35
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 19:10
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.39%E -1.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 19:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.39%E -1.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 19:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:25
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:25
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:50
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:50
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:50
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:50
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 17:49
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 20:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 20:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 20:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.49%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 20:05
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -7.36%E -3.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 19:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -7.36%E -3.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 19:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -7.36%E -3.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 19:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -6.83%E -4.06%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -8.25%E -4.00%K -7.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 20:03
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.69%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 19:50
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-07-25 20:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-07-25 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-07-25 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-07-25 20:05
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-07-25 20:00
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-25 17:35
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-25 20:00
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-07-25 19:40
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%2.2%2026-07-25 20:05
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%3.0%2026-07-25 20:05