默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Washington Nationals v Arizona Diamondbacks

开赛时间: 2026-07-25 20:06 UTC

最终结果: Washington Nationals 5–3 Arizona Diamondbacks

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Washington Nationals (主队)

预测 55.46%1.80公平赔率
EV -0.728%
优势 -0.407%
Kelly -0.921%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.79

博彩公司预测分布
54.38%55.61%55.38%58.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.651.731.731.7960.61%57.94%57.64%55.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

Arizona Diamondbacks (客队)

预测 44.54%2.25公平赔率
EV +2.44%
优势 +1.06%
Kelly +1.88%
增长率 +0.046%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布
41.77%44.39%44.62%45.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.142.152.3048.78%46.75%46.51%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Washington Nationals (主队):55.46%;Arizona Diamondbacks (客队):44.54%。 对于“Arizona Diamondbacks (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.25。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.30,对应+2.44%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -8.49%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +2.44%E +1.06%K +1.88%G +0.046%4.1%2026-07-25 20:05
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.12%E -0.504%K -0.918%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-25 16:15
BetAnything🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -1.12%E -0.504%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-25 20:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -1.12%E -0.504%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 20:05
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.39%E -1.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.56%E -0.708%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-25 20:05
Everygame🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.28%E -0.721%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -2.46%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-25 19:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.39%E -1.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.46%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-25 20:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.39%E -1.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.46%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-25 20:05
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 20:04
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -0.728%E -0.407%K -0.921%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -3.35%E -1.54%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-25 20:04
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-25 18:50
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-25 17:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 20:00
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 20:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 20:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 17:24
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 17:10
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 19:25
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 19:25
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 18:40
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 19:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 19:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 19:30
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 19:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 16:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 19:40
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 19:55
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 20:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.83%E -4.06%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 20:05
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 18:50
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.49%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:53
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.49%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:54
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.49%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 20:05
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -1.28%E -0.721%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -4.68%E -2.19%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-25 19:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -1.28%E -0.721%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -4.68%E -2.19%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-25 19:50
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.68%E -2.19%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 20:00
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.68%E -2.19%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 19:35
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.68%E -2.19%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 18:50
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -5.13%E -2.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 20:03
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 19:35
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 19:10
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.39%E -1.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 19:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.39%E -1.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 19:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:25
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:25
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:50
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:50
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:50
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:50
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 17:49
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 20:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 20:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 20:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.49%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 20:05
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -7.36%E -3.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 19:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -7.36%E -3.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 19:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -7.36%E -3.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 19:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -6.83%E -4.06%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -8.25%E -4.00%K -7.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 20:03
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.69%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 19:50
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-07-25 20:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-07-25 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-07-25 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-07-25 20:05
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-07-25 20:00
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-25 17:35
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-25 20:00
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-07-25 19:40
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%2.2%2026-07-25 20:05
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%3.0%2026-07-25 20:05