La scuola delle quote

Washington Nationals v Arizona Diamondbacks

Inizio: 2026-07-25 20:06 UTC

Finale: Washington Nationals 5–3 Arizona Diamondbacks

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Washington Nationals (Casa)

Previsione 55.46%1.80quota equa
EV -0.728%
Vantaggio -0.407%
Kelly -0.921%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.79

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.38%55.61%55.38%58.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.651.731.731.7960.61%57.94%57.64%55.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arizona Diamondbacks (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.54%2.25quota equa
EV +2.44%
Vantaggio +1.06%
Kelly +1.88%
Crescita +0.046%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.77%44.39%44.62%45.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.142.152.3048.78%46.75%46.51%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -8.49%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +2.44%E +1.06%K +1.88%G +0.046%4.1%2026-07-25 20:05
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.12%E -0.504%K -0.918%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-25 16:15
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -1.12%E -0.504%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-25 20:05
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -1.12%E -0.504%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 20:05
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.39%E -1.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.56%E -0.708%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-25 20:05
Everygame1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.28%E -0.721%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -2.46%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-25 19:14
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.39%E -1.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.46%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-25 20:05
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.39%E -1.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.46%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-25 20:05
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 20:04
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -0.728%E -0.407%K -0.921%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -3.35%E -1.54%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-25 20:04
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-25 18:50
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-25 17:09
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 20:00
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 20:04
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 20:05
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 17:24
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 17:10
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 19:25
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 19:25
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 18:40
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 19:30
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 19:35
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 19:30
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 19:30
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 19:35
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 16:10
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 19:40
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 19:55
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 20:05
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.83%E -4.06%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 20:05
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 18:50
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.49%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:53
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.49%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:54
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.49%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 20:05
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -1.28%E -0.721%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -4.68%E -2.19%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-25 19:50
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -1.28%E -0.721%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -4.68%E -2.19%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-25 19:50
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.68%E -2.19%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 20:00
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.68%E -2.19%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 19:35
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.68%E -2.19%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 18:50
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -5.13%E -2.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 20:03
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 19:35
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 19:10
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 19:10
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.39%E -1.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 19:50
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.39%E -1.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 19:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:25
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:25
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:50
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:50
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:50
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:50
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:50
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 17:49
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 20:04
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 20:04
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 20:04
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.49%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 20:05
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -7.36%E -3.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 19:50
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -7.36%E -3.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 19:50
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -7.36%E -3.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 19:50
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -6.83%E -4.06%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -8.25%E -4.00%K -7.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 20:03
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.69%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 19:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-07-25 20:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-07-25 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-07-25 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-07-25 20:05
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-07-25 20:00
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-25 17:35
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-25 20:00
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-07-25 19:40
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%2.2%2026-07-25 20:05
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%3.0%2026-07-25 20:05