L’École des cotes

Washington Nationals v Arizona Diamondbacks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-25 20:06 UTC

Score final : Washington Nationals 5–3 Arizona Diamondbacks

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prévision 55.46%1.80cote équitable
EV -0.728%
Avantage -0.407%
Kelly -0.921%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.38%55.61%55.38%58.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.731.731.7960.61%57.94%57.64%55.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.54%2.25cote équitable
EV +2.44%
Avantage +1.06%
Kelly +1.88%
Croissance +0.046%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.77%44.39%44.62%45.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.142.152.3048.78%46.75%46.51%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -8.49%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +2.44%E +1.06%K +1.88%G +0.046%4.1%2026-07-25 20:05
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.12%E -0.504%K -0.918%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-25 16:15
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -1.12%E -0.504%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-25 20:05
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -1.12%E -0.504%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 20:05
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.39%E -1.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.56%E -0.708%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-25 20:05
Everygame1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.28%E -0.721%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -2.46%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-25 19:14
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.39%E -1.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.46%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-25 20:05
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.39%E -1.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.46%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-25 20:05
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 20:04
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -0.728%E -0.407%K -0.921%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -3.35%E -1.54%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-25 20:04
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-25 18:50
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-25 17:09
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 20:00
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 20:04
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 20:05
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 17:24
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 17:10
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 19:25
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 19:25
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 18:40
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 19:30
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 19:35
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 19:30
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 19:30
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 19:35
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 16:10
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 19:40
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 19:55
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 20:05
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.83%E -4.06%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 20:05
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 18:50
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.49%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:53
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.49%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:54
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.49%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 20:05
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -1.28%E -0.721%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -4.68%E -2.19%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-25 19:50
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -1.28%E -0.721%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -4.68%E -2.19%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-25 19:50
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.68%E -2.19%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 20:00
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.68%E -2.19%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 19:35
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.68%E -2.19%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 18:50
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -5.13%E -2.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 20:03
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 19:35
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 19:10
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 19:10
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.39%E -1.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 19:50
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.39%E -1.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 19:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:25
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:25
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:50
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:50
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:50
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:50
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:50
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 17:49
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 20:04
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 20:04
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 20:04
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.49%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 20:05
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -7.36%E -3.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 19:50
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -7.36%E -3.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 19:50
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -7.36%E -3.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 19:50
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -6.83%E -4.06%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -8.25%E -4.00%K -7.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 20:03
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.69%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 19:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-07-25 20:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-07-25 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-07-25 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-07-25 20:05
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-07-25 20:00
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-25 17:35
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-25 20:00
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-07-25 19:40
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%2.2%2026-07-25 20:05
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%3.0%2026-07-25 20:05