Language:English
St. Louis Cardinals v Philadelphia Phillies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
St. Louis Cardinals (Local)
Prediction 40.62%2.46fair odd
EV +3.57%
Edge +1.40%
Kelly +2.30%
Growth +0.082%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.96%40.45%40.63%41.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.362.362.5543.86%42.31%42.37%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)
Prediction 59.38%1.68fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.857%
Kelly -2.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.38%59.55%59.38%62.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.611.601.6664.94%62.27%62.50%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 40.62%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 59.38%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.57%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +3.57%E +1.40%K +2.30%G +0.082% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -7.36%E -4.72%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%EV +0.322%E +0.130%K +0.219%G +0.001% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%EV -2.61%E -1.59%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-11 23:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -0.490%E -0.200%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -2.02%E -1.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.490%E -0.200%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.36%E -4.72%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.71%E -0.706%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.02%E -1.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-11 21:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.11%E -0.878%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.02%E -1.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.52%E -1.05%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.02%E -1.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-11 23:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.52%E -1.05%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.80%E -2.34%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-11 23:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.52%E -1.05%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.80%E -2.34%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-11 23:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.52%E -1.05%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.80%E -2.34%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-11 23:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.52%E -1.05%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.52%E -1.05%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.96%E -5.13%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 06:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.93%E -1.22%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.42%E -0.857%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-11 22:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.93%E -1.22%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.02%E -1.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-11 21:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.93%E -1.22%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.02%E -1.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-11 21:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.61%E -1.59%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-11 22:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 23:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 23:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 23:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-11 21:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-11 23:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-11 23:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-11 23:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-11 23:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-11 23:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-11 23:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -3.74%E -1.58%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.02%E -1.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.74%E -1.58%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.74%E -1.58%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.74%E -1.58%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.58%E -3.51%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.15%E -1.76%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.80%E -2.34%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 21:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.15%E -1.76%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 21:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.02%E -1.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-11 21:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.20%E -1.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-11 20:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.80%E -2.34%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.80%E -2.34%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 21:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 23:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 23:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.58%E -3.51%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.17%E -3.91%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 23:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.96%E -2.12%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-11 23:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 20:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 20:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.77%E -4.31%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-11 23:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.77%E -4.31%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-11 23:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.61%E -1.59%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.61%E -1.59%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-11 23:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.17%E -3.91%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-11 23:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.77%E -4.31%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 21:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.77%E -4.31%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.96%E -5.13%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-11 23:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.96%E -5.13%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-11 23:33 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -7.39%E -3.24%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.36%E -4.72%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-11 23:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -7.39%E -3.24%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -8.55%E -5.55%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-11 23:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 0.2% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-11 23:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-10 21:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 1.6% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| Novig◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.0% | 2026-08-11 23:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61% | 2.3% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |