The School of Odds
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St. Louis Cardinals v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-08-11 23:46 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 39.83%2.51fair odd
EV -0.420%
Edge -0.168%
Kelly -0.280%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%39.84%39.85%40.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.412.402.5045.45%41.44%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)

Prediction 60.17%1.66fair odd
EV -0.723%
Edge -0.438%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.05%60.16%60.15%61.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.581.581.6566.67%63.24%63.29%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 39.83%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 60.17%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.50, with an expected value of -0.420%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.420%E -0.168%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.53%E -1.56%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-10 23:39
GTbets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.420%E -0.168%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.13%E -1.94%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-10 23:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.420%E -0.168%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.14%E -3.93%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 00:59
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.420%E -0.168%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.14%E -3.93%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 00:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.420%E -0.168%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.14%E -3.93%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 00:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.420%E -0.168%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.14%E -3.93%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 01:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.818%E -0.329%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.13%E -1.94%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 23:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.818%E -0.329%K -0.549%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.13%E -1.94%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 23:45
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.22%E -0.491%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.14%E -3.93%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-11 00:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.22%E -0.491%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.14%E -3.93%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-11 00:59
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.22%E -0.491%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.14%E -3.93%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-11 01:00
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.22%E -0.491%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.14%E -3.93%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-11 01:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.22%E -0.491%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.14%E -3.93%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-11 00:59
Bally Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.22%E -0.491%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.14%E -3.93%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-11 01:00
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.22%E -0.491%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 01:00
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.61%E -0.654%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.13%E -1.94%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-10 21:30
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.01%E -0.818%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.93%E -1.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-10 19:35
BetUS🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.01%E -0.818%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.13%E -1.94%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-10 23:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -2.41%E -0.984%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -0.723%E -0.438%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-10 19:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -3.21%E -1.32%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 00:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -3.21%E -1.32%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -7.94%E -5.19%K -14.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 00:59
DraftKings🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -4.00%E -1.66%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 20:42
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.13%E -1.94%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-10 19:54
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.73%E -2.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-10 23:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.73%E -2.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-10 23:44
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.33%E -2.73%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 23:44
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.33%E -2.73%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 23:54
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 19:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 19:40
Bovada🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -4.80%E -2.01%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.13%E -1.94%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-10 21:44
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.20%E -2.18%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.13%E -1.94%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 18:45
Bet Right🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.20%E -2.18%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.73%E -2.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-10 19:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.20%E -2.18%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 20:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.20%E -2.18%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 21:24
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.20%E -2.18%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-10 18:48
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.20%E -2.18%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-10 19:35
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.20%E -2.18%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-10 19:40
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.20%E -2.18%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -9.75%E -6.50%K -19.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-11 01:00
Coolbet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.60%E -2.36%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.33%E -2.73%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 19:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -6.00%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 20:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -1.93%E -1.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-10 18:49
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.53%E -1.56%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.53%E -1.56%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 23:44
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.13%E -1.94%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 21:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.33%E -2.73%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 18:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.93%E -3.12%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 19:35
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 01:00
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 23:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.34%E -4.77%K -13.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-10 23:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -8.54%E -5.62%K -16.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-10 19:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-08-10 23:45
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-08-10 22:00
Polymarket◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-08-10 21:15
ProphetX◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%1.0%2026-08-11 01:00
Matchbook◎2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%5.4%2026-08-11 00:00
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%8.0%2026-08-11 01:25

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