Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

St. Louis Cardinals v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-08-11 23:46 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prévision 39.77%2.51cote équitable
EV -0.573%
Avantage -0.229%
Kelly -0.382%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.42%39.76%39.85%40.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.422.402.5044.44%41.36%41.67%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.23%1.66cote équitable
EV -0.622%
Avantage -0.377%
Kelly -0.957%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.05%60.24%60.15%61.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.581.571.6566.67%63.28%63.69%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : St. Louis Cardinals (Local) : 39.77% ; Philadelphia Phillies (Visiteur) : 60.23%. Pour St. Louis Cardinals (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.51. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.50, pour une espérance de -0.573% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.573%E -0.229%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-10 23:39
GTbets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.573%E -0.229%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-10 23:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.573%E -0.229%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 00:59
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.573%E -0.229%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 00:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.573%E -0.229%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 00:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.573%E -0.229%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 01:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.970%E -0.390%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 23:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.970%E -0.390%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 23:45
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.37%E -0.552%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-11 00:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.37%E -0.552%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-11 00:59
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.37%E -0.552%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-11 01:00
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.37%E -0.552%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-11 01:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.37%E -0.552%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-11 00:59
Bally Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.37%E -0.552%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-11 01:00
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.37%E -0.552%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.64%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 01:00
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.77%E -0.715%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-10 21:30
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.16%E -0.879%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.83%E -1.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-10 19:35
BetUS🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.16%E -0.879%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-10 23:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -2.56%E -1.05%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -0.622%E -0.377%K -0.957%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-10 19:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -3.36%E -1.38%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 00:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -3.36%E -1.38%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 00:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.75%E -1.55%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-11 02:10
DraftKings🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.75%E -1.55%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 01:39
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-10 19:54
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-10 23:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-10 23:44
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 23:44
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 23:54
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 01:44
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 01:45
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 19:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 01:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 19:40
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 02:09
Bovada🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -4.95%E -2.07%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-10 21:44
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.35%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.35%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 20:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.35%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 21:24
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.35%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-10 18:48
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.35%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-10 19:35
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.35%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-10 19:40
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.35%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -9.66%E -6.44%K -19.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-11 01:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -6.14%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 20:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -1.83%E -1.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-10 18:49
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 23:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 19:35
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 01:00
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 23:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-11 01:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.52%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-10 23:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-08-10 23:45
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-08-10 22:00
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-08-10 21:15
ProphetX2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%1.0%2026-08-11 02:10
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%5.1%2026-08-11 01:50
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%8.0%2026-08-11 02:10

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