Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals v Philadelphia Phillies

Início: 2026-08-11 23:46 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 2–0 Philadelphia Phillies

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Previsão 40.62%2.46odd justa
EV +3.57%
Vantagem +1.40%
Kelly +2.30%
Crescimento +0.082%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.96%40.45%40.63%41.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.282.362.362.5543.86%42.31%42.37%39.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Previsão 59.38%1.68odd justa
EV -1.42%
Vantagem -0.857%
Kelly -2.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.38%59.55%59.38%62.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.541.611.601.6664.94%62.27%62.50%60.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 40.62%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante): 59.38%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.46. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.55, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.57%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +3.57%E +1.40%K +2.30%G +0.082%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -7.36%E -4.72%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-11 23:45
Caesars🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%EV +0.322%E +0.130%K +0.219%G +0.001%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%EV -2.61%E -1.59%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-11 23:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -0.490%E -0.200%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -2.02%E -1.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-11 23:30
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.490%E -0.200%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.36%E -4.72%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 21:54
FanDuel🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.71%E -0.706%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.02%E -1.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-11 21:04
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.11%E -0.878%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.02%E -1.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-11 23:40
GTbets🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.52%E -1.05%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.02%E -1.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-11 23:34
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.52%E -1.05%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.80%E -2.34%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-11 23:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.52%E -1.05%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.80%E -2.34%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-11 23:19
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.52%E -1.05%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.80%E -2.34%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-11 23:44
ReBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.52%E -1.05%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-11 21:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.52%E -1.05%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.96%E -5.13%K -14.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 06:05
1xBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.93%E -1.22%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.42%E -0.857%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-11 22:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.93%E -1.22%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.02%E -1.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-11 21:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.93%E -1.22%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.02%E -1.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-11 21:04
BetAnything🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.61%E -1.59%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-11 22:34
Bovada🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 23:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 23:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 23:19
Bet Right🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 21:45
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 23:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 23:19
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 23:19
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 23:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 23:20
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 23:19
BetUS🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -3.74%E -1.58%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.02%E -1.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-11 23:39
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.74%E -1.58%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 23:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.74%E -1.58%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 23:45
Coolbet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.74%E -1.58%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.58%E -3.51%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 21:44
MyBookie.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.15%E -1.76%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.80%E -2.34%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 21:14
SportsBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.15%E -1.76%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 21:05
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.02%E -1.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-11 21:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.20%E -1.97%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-11 20:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.80%E -2.34%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 23:45
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.80%E -2.34%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 23:45
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 21:00
888sport🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 21:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 21:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 21:45
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 23:19
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 23:45
Dabble (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 23:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.58%E -3.51%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 21:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.17%E -3.91%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 23:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.96%E -2.12%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 23:44
NordicBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 20:59
Betsson🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 20:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.77%E -4.31%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 23:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.77%E -4.31%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 23:19
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.61%E -1.59%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.61%E -1.59%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 23:45
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-11 23:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 23:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.17%E -3.91%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-11 23:19
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.77%E -4.31%K -11.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 21:19
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.77%E -4.31%K -11.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 23:45
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.96%E -5.13%K -14.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 23:33
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.96%E -5.13%K -14.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 23:33
Betclic (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -7.39%E -3.24%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.36%E -4.72%K -13.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 23:19
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -7.39%E -3.24%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -8.55%E -5.55%K -15.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-11 23:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-08-11 23:45
BetOpenly◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-08-11 23:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-08-11 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-08-11 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-08-11 22:55
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-08-11 21:55
Polymarket◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-08-10 21:15
Matchbook◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%1.6%2026-08-11 23:45
Novig◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.0%2026-08-11 23:44
Smarkets◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%2.3%2026-08-11 23:45