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St. Louis Cardinals v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-08-11 23:46 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Predicción 39.77%2.51momio equitativo
EV -0.573%
Ventaja -0.229%
Kelly -0.382%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.42%39.76%39.85%40.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.422.402.5044.44%41.36%41.67%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Predicción 60.23%1.66momio equitativo
EV -0.622%
Ventaja -0.377%
Kelly -0.957%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.05%60.24%60.15%61.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.581.571.6566.67%63.28%63.69%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 39.77%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante): 60.23%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.51. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.50, con un valor esperado de -0.573%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.573%E -0.229%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-10 23:39
GTbets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.573%E -0.229%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-10 23:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.573%E -0.229%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 00:59
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.573%E -0.229%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 00:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.573%E -0.229%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 00:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.573%E -0.229%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 01:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.970%E -0.390%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 23:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.970%E -0.390%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 23:45
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.37%E -0.552%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-11 00:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.37%E -0.552%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-11 00:59
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.37%E -0.552%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-11 01:00
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.37%E -0.552%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-11 01:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.37%E -0.552%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-11 00:59
Bally Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.37%E -0.552%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-11 01:00
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.37%E -0.552%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.64%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 01:00
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.77%E -0.715%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-10 21:30
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.16%E -0.879%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.83%E -1.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-10 19:35
BetUS🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -2.16%E -0.879%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-10 23:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -2.56%E -1.05%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -0.622%E -0.377%K -0.957%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-10 19:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -3.36%E -1.38%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 00:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -3.36%E -1.38%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -7.85%E -5.13%K -14.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 00:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.75%E -1.55%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-11 02:10
DraftKings🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.75%E -1.55%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 01:39
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-10 19:54
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-10 23:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-10 23:44
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 23:44
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 23:54
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 01:44
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 01:45
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 19:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 01:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 19:40
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 02:09
Bovada🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -4.95%E -2.07%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-10 21:44
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.35%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.35%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 20:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.35%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 21:24
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.35%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-10 18:48
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.35%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-10 19:35
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.35%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-10 19:40
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.35%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -9.66%E -6.44%K -19.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-11 01:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -6.14%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 20:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -1.83%E -1.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-10 18:49
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 23:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 19:35
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 01:00
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 23:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-11 01:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.52%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.25%E -4.71%K -13.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-10 23:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-08-10 23:45
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-08-10 22:00
Polymarket◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-08-10 21:15
ProphetX◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%1.0%2026-08-11 02:10
Matchbook◎2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%5.1%2026-08-11 01:50
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%8.0%2026-08-11 02:10

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