StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

St. Louis Cardinals v Philadelphia Phillies

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-11 23:46 UTC

Endstand: St. Louis Cardinals 2–0 Philadelphia Phillies

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

St. Louis Cardinals (Heim)

Prognose 40.62%2.46faire Quote
EV +3.57%
Vorteil +1.40%
Kelly +2.30%
Wachstum +0.082%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.55

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
37.96%40.45%40.63%41.62%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.282.362.362.5543.86%42.31%42.37%39.22%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Auswärts)

Prognose 59.38%1.68faire Quote
EV -1.42%
Vorteil -0.857%
Kelly -2.16%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.66

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
58.38%59.55%59.38%62.04%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.541.611.601.6664.94%62.27%62.50%60.24%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: St. Louis Cardinals (Heim): 40.62%; Philadelphia Phillies (Auswärts): 59.38%. Für St. Louis Cardinals (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.46. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.55 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.57%.

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +3.57%E +1.40%K +2.30%G +0.082%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -7.36%E -4.72%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-11 23:45
Caesars🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%EV +0.322%E +0.130%K +0.219%G +0.001%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%EV -2.61%E -1.59%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-11 23:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -0.490%E -0.200%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -2.02%E -1.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-11 23:30
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.490%E -0.200%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.36%E -4.72%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 21:54
FanDuel🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.71%E -0.706%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.02%E -1.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-11 21:04
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.11%E -0.878%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.02%E -1.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-11 23:40
GTbets🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.52%E -1.05%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.02%E -1.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-11 23:34
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.52%E -1.05%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.80%E -2.34%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-11 23:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.52%E -1.05%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.80%E -2.34%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-11 23:19
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.52%E -1.05%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.80%E -2.34%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-11 23:44
ReBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.52%E -1.05%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-11 21:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.52%E -1.05%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.96%E -5.13%K -14.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 06:05
1xBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.93%E -1.22%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.42%E -0.857%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-11 22:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.93%E -1.22%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.02%E -1.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-11 21:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.93%E -1.22%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.02%E -1.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-11 21:04
BetAnything🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.61%E -1.59%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-11 22:34
Bovada🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 23:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 23:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 23:19
Bet Right🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 21:45
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 23:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 23:19
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 23:19
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 23:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 23:20
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 23:19
BetUS🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -3.74%E -1.58%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.02%E -1.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-11 23:39
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.74%E -1.58%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 23:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.74%E -1.58%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 23:45
Coolbet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.74%E -1.58%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.58%E -3.51%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 21:44
MyBookie.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.15%E -1.76%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.80%E -2.34%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 21:14
SportsBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.15%E -1.76%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 21:05
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.02%E -1.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-11 21:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.20%E -1.97%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-11 20:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.80%E -2.34%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 23:45
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.80%E -2.34%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 23:45
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 21:00
888sport🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 21:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 21:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 21:45
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 23:19
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 23:45
Dabble (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 23:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.58%E -3.51%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 21:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.17%E -3.91%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 23:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.96%E -2.12%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 23:44
NordicBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 20:59
Betsson🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 20:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.77%E -4.31%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 23:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -5.36%E -2.30%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.77%E -4.31%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 23:19
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.61%E -1.59%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.61%E -1.59%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 23:45
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-11 23:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 23:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.17%E -3.91%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-11 23:19
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.77%E -4.31%K -11.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 21:19
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.77%E -4.31%K -11.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 23:45
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.96%E -5.13%K -14.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 23:33
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.58%E -2.86%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.96%E -5.13%K -14.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 23:33
Betclic (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -7.39%E -3.24%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.36%E -4.72%K -13.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 23:19
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -7.39%E -3.24%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -8.55%E -5.55%K -15.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-11 23:19
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
ProphetX◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-08-11 23:45
BetOpenly◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-08-11 23:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-08-11 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-08-11 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-08-11 22:55
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-08-11 21:55
Polymarket◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-08-10 21:15
Matchbook◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%1.6%2026-08-11 23:45
Novig◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.0%2026-08-11 23:44
Smarkets◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%2.3%2026-08-11 23:45