Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.51
assuming max odds 1.63
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 39.75%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 60.25%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.51, with an expected value of -0.237%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -0.237%E -0.095%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -2.99%E -1.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-12 15:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.635%E -0.254%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-12 18:08 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.635%E -0.254%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-12 17:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.635%E -0.254%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.99%E -1.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-12 17:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.635%E -0.254%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.99%E -1.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-12 17:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -1.83%E -0.740%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-12 18:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.22%E -0.904%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.79%E -1.10%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-12 15:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-12 18:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-12 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-12 18:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.99%E -1.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-12 18:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-12 16:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.00%E -3.85%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-12 14:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -2.99%E -1.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-12 17:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.42%E -1.41%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-12 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.42%E -1.41%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-12 18:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.42%E -1.41%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.20%E -2.64%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-12 15:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.81%E -1.58%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.80%E -3.04%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-12 18:03 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.81%E -1.58%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 17:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-12 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-12 14:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-12 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-12 18:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-12 15:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.20%E -2.64%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-12 15:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.20%E -2.64%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-12 15:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.20%E -2.64%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-12 14:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.20%E -2.64%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-12 15:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.80%E -3.04%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 15:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.80%E -3.04%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 15:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 15:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 15:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 15:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 15:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 16:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.61%E -4.26%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 18:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.61%E -4.26%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 09:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-12 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-12 17:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-12 17:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-12 17:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-12 17:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-12 18:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-12 15:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-12 18:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.81%E -5.11%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-12 15:53 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.80%E -2.45%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.80%E -3.04%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 15:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.80%E -2.45%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.80%E -3.04%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 15:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -6.20%E -2.63%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.20%E -2.64%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-12 14:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-12 14:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.80%E -3.04%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 15:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 18:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 18:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.00%E -3.85%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-12 15:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.00%EV -8.19%E -3.54%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.00%EV -7.21%E -4.68%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-12 17:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.61%E -4.26%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-12 18:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.61%E -4.26%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-12 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -7.21%E -4.68%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-12 18:04 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.38% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.62% | -0.0% | 2026-08-12 18:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67% | 0.5% | 2026-08-12 18:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-12 17:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-12 15:44 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-12 15:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 1.3% | 2026-08-12 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 1.3% | 2026-08-12 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 1.3% | 2026-08-12 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 1.3% | 2026-08-12 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00% | 1.6% | 2026-08-12 18:00 |