Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-08-12 18:15 UTC — MLB

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Previsão 40.87%2.45odd justa
EV +0.952%
Vantagem +0.385%
Kelly +0.648%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.47

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.75%40.87%40.94%43.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.332.332.4745.45%42.90%42.92%40.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Previsão 59.13%1.69odd justa
EV -1.26%
Vantagem -0.752%
Kelly -1.87%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.85%59.13%59.06%60.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.561.621.621.6764.10%61.80%61.73%59.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 40.87%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante): 59.13%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.45. 4 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.47, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +0.952%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Caesars🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%EV +0.952%E +0.385%K +0.648%G +0.006%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%EV -3.03%E -1.85%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-12 02:08
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +0.135%E +0.055%K +0.093%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-12 00:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +0.135%E +0.055%K +0.093%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-12 00:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +0.135%E +0.055%K +0.093%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-12 00:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -1.91%E -0.795%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -1.26%E -0.752%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-11 20:54
BetUS🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -2.32%E -0.970%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -3.03%E -1.85%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-12 02:29
Bovada🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -2.32%E -0.970%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-11 22:34
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.73%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.44%E -1.48%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-12 02:10
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.73%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 22:35
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.73%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-11 22:33
1xBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -3.14%E -1.32%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.26%E -0.752%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-12 02:24
BetAnything🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -3.54%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -3.03%E -1.85%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-12 03:19
DraftKings🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.54%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 02:10
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.44%E -1.48%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-12 00:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 00:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 02:13
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 00:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 00:19
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 00:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 00:19
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 02:09
888sport🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 02:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 02:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 02:09
Dabble (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 02:54
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.99%E -3.76%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 03:09
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 22:35
Bet Right🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.36%E -1.86%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 02:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 02:10
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 00:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 00:19
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 00:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 00:20
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 00:19
Bally Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 00:20
Coolbet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.77%E -2.05%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 02:10
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.18%E -2.23%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 00:19
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.44%E -1.48%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 03:19
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.62%E -2.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 00:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 18:53
Marathon Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 02:14
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.21%E -2.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 02:29
ReBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.80%E -2.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 02:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 02:09
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 02:09
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 02:08
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 02:08
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 00:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.39%E -3.37%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 00:19
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.44%E -1.48%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 02:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.44%E -1.48%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 02:55
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.44%E -1.48%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 02:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.58%E -4.16%K -11.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-12 02:10
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.76%E -4.97%K -13.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-12 00:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.26%E -0.752%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 02:54
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.26%E -0.752%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 02:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.76%E -4.97%K -13.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-12 02:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-08-12 01:30
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-08-12 02:05
ProphetX2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-08-12 02:55
Novig2.47I 40.49%NM 40.05%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.95%1.1%2026-08-12 02:35
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%5.6%2026-08-12 03:20
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 42.02%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.98%9.2%2026-08-12 00:30

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