默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

St. Louis Cardinals v Philadelphia Phillies

开赛时间: 2026-08-12 18:15 UTC

最终结果: St. Louis Cardinals 7–1 Philadelphia Phillies

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

61 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

St. Louis Cardinals (主队)

预测 39.75%2.52公平赔率
EV -0.237%
优势 -0.095%
Kelly -0.157%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.51

博彩公司预测分布
38.90%39.70%39.80%40.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.402.402.5143.48%41.66%41.67%39.84%最小值均值中位数最大值

Philadelphia Phillies (客队)

预测 60.25%1.66公平赔率
EV -1.79%
优势 -1.10%
Kelly -2.84%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.63

博彩公司预测分布
59.19%60.30%60.20%61.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.531.591.591.6365.36%62.95%62.89%61.35%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:St. Louis Cardinals (主队):39.75%;Philadelphia Phillies (客队):60.25%。 对于“St. Louis Cardinals (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.52。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.51,期望值为-0.237%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
DraftKings🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -0.237%E -0.095%K -0.157%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -2.99%E -1.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 15:34
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.635%E -0.254%K -0.423%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-12 18:08
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.635%E -0.254%K -0.423%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-12 17:54
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.635%E -0.254%K -0.423%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.99%E -1.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-12 17:25
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.635%E -0.254%K -0.423%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.99%E -1.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-12 17:44
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -1.83%E -0.740%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-12 18:05
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.22%E -0.904%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.79%E -1.10%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 15:49
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-12 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-12 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-12 18:05
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.99%E -1.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-12 18:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-12 16:30
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.00%E -3.85%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 14:44
BetAnything🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -2.99%E -1.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-12 17:54
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.42%E -1.41%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-12 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.42%E -1.41%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-12 18:04
MyBookie.ag🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.42%E -1.41%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.20%E -2.64%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 15:54
Bovada🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.81%E -1.58%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.80%E -3.04%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 18:03
SportsBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.81%E -1.58%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 17:45
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 14:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 18:05
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 15:39
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.20%E -2.64%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 15:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.20%E -2.64%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 15:44
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.20%E -2.64%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 14:05
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.20%E -2.64%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 15:40
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.80%E -3.04%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 15:54
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.80%E -3.04%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 15:55
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 15:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 15:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 15:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 15:54
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 16:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.61%E -4.26%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 18:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.61%E -4.26%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 09:14
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 17:44
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 17:45
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 17:49
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 18:00
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-12 15:34
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-12 18:05
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.81%E -5.11%K -14.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-12 15:53
NordicBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.80%E -2.45%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.80%E -3.04%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 15:39
Betsson🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.80%E -2.45%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.80%E -3.04%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 15:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -6.20%E -2.63%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.20%E -2.64%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 14:09
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 14:09
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 17:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.80%E -3.04%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 15:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 18:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 18:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.00%E -3.85%K -10.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-12 15:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.00%EV -8.19%E -3.54%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.00%EV -7.21%E -4.68%K -13.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-12 17:48
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.61%E -4.26%K -12.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-12 18:04
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.61%E -4.26%K -12.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-12 18:05
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -7.21%E -4.68%K -13.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-12 18:04
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.38%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.62%-0.0%2026-08-12 18:10
Novig◎2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%0.5%2026-08-12 18:05
ProphetX◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-08-12 17:55
Polymarket◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-08-12 15:44
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-08-12 15:40
Matchbook◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%1.3%2026-08-12 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%1.3%2026-08-12 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%1.3%2026-08-12 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%1.3%2026-08-12 18:10
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%1.6%2026-08-12 18:00