Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

St. Louis Cardinals v Philadelphia Phillies

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-12 18:15 UTC

Score final : St. Louis Cardinals 7–1 Philadelphia Phillies

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prévision 39.75%2.52cote équitable
EV -0.237%
Avantage -0.095%
Kelly -0.157%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.90%39.70%39.80%40.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.402.402.5143.48%41.66%41.67%39.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.25%1.66cote équitable
EV -1.79%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -2.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.19%60.30%60.20%61.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.531.591.591.6365.36%62.95%62.89%61.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : St. Louis Cardinals (Local) : 39.75% ; Philadelphia Phillies (Visiteur) : 60.25%. Pour St. Louis Cardinals (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.52. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.51, pour une espérance de -0.237% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -0.237%E -0.095%K -0.157%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -2.99%E -1.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 15:34
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.635%E -0.254%K -0.423%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-12 18:08
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.635%E -0.254%K -0.423%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-12 17:54
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.635%E -0.254%K -0.423%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.99%E -1.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-12 17:25
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.635%E -0.254%K -0.423%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.99%E -1.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-12 17:44
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -1.83%E -0.740%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-12 18:05
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.22%E -0.904%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.79%E -1.10%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 15:49
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-12 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-12 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-12 18:05
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.99%E -1.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-12 18:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-12 16:30
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.00%E -3.85%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 14:44
BetAnything🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -3.02%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -2.99%E -1.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-12 17:54
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.42%E -1.41%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-12 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.42%E -1.41%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-12 18:04
MyBookie.ag🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.42%E -1.41%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.20%E -2.64%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 15:54
Bovada🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.81%E -1.58%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.80%E -3.04%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 18:03
SportsBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.81%E -1.58%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 17:45
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 14:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 18:05
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 15:39
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.20%E -2.64%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 15:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.20%E -2.64%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 15:44
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.20%E -2.64%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 14:05
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.20%E -2.64%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 15:40
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.80%E -3.04%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 15:54
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.80%E -3.04%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 15:55
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 15:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 15:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 15:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 15:54
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 16:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.61%E -4.26%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 18:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.61%E -4.26%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 09:14
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 17:44
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 17:45
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 17:49
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 18:00
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-12 15:34
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-12 18:05
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.81%E -5.11%K -14.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-12 15:53
NordicBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.80%E -2.45%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.80%E -3.04%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 15:39
Betsson🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.80%E -2.45%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.80%E -3.04%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 15:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -6.20%E -2.63%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.20%E -2.64%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 14:09
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.39%E -1.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 14:09
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.59%E -2.25%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 17:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.80%E -3.04%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 15:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 18:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.40%E -3.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 18:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.00%E -3.85%K -10.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-12 15:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.00%EV -8.19%E -3.54%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.00%EV -7.21%E -4.68%K -13.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-12 17:48
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.61%E -4.26%K -12.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-12 18:04
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.61%E -4.26%K -12.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-12 18:05
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -7.21%E -4.68%K -13.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-12 18:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.38%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.62%-0.0%2026-08-12 18:10
Novig◎2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%0.5%2026-08-12 18:05
ProphetX◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-08-12 17:55
Polymarket◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-08-12 15:44
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-08-12 15:40
Matchbook◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%1.3%2026-08-12 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%1.3%2026-08-12 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%1.3%2026-08-12 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%1.3%2026-08-12 18:10
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%1.6%2026-08-12 18:00