The School of Odds

Seattle Mariners v San Francisco Giants

2026-07-19 20:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prediction 61.25%1.63fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -3.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.15%61.27%61.23%62.96%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.551.6067%64%65%63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

San Francisco Giants (Visit)

Prediction 38.75%2.58fair odd
EV -0.030%
Edge -0.012%
Kelly -0.019%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%38.73%38.77%39.85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.352.472.452.5843%41%41%39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -2.00%E -1.25%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -2.36%E -0.935%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-18 21:10
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -2.00%E -1.25%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -2.74%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 21:10
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -2.00%E -1.25%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -2.74%E -1.09%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 21:10
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -2.61%E -1.64%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -5.84%E -2.40%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 20:30
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.61%E -1.64%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -7.01%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 19:10
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -3.22%E -2.04%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -0.030%E -0.012%K -0.019%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-18 21:10
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.83%E -2.44%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.07%E -2.07%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 17:55
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.83%E -2.44%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.07%E -2.07%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 20:30
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.83%E -2.44%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.07%E -2.07%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 21:30
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.36%E -0.935%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-18 20:45
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.13%E -1.25%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 21:10
MyBookie.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -3.52%E -1.41%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 21:09
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.91%E -1.57%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-18 21:30
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.06%E -3.26%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.07%E -2.07%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 21:10
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.06%E -3.26%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.07%E -2.07%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 21:10
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.06%E -3.26%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.07%E -2.07%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 20:30
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.67%E -3.68%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.13%E -1.25%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 21:15
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.67%E -3.68%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.07%E -2.07%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 21:10
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.67%E -3.68%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.07%E -2.07%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 21:10
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.67%E -3.68%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -5.84%E -2.40%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 21:09
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.28%E -4.11%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.13%E -1.25%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 21:15
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.28%E -4.11%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.13%E -1.25%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 21:15
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.28%E -4.11%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.13%E -1.25%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 21:15
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.28%E -4.11%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.07%E -2.07%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 21:10
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.28%E -4.11%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.07%E -2.07%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 21:10
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.90%E -4.54%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -3.91%E -1.57%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 20:45
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -7.51%E -4.97%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.94%E -3.81%K -6.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 21:10
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.19%E -0.468%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 19:10
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.94%E -3.81%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-18 21:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-18 18:30
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-18 17:55
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 60.40%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%3.5%2026-07-18 21:15
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%6.0%2026-07-18 21:30
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%10.1%2026-07-18 21:10