默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Seattle Mariners v San Francisco Giants

开赛时间: 2026-07-19 20:11 UTC

最终结果: Seattle Mariners 6–3 San Francisco Giants

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

62 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Seattle Mariners (主队)

预测 63.59%1.57公平赔率
EV -1.43%
优势 -0.926%
Kelly -2.61%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.55

博彩公司预测分布
61.69%63.60%63.58%65.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.441.511.511.5569.44%66.43%66.23%64.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

San Francisco Giants (客队)

预测 36.41%2.75公平赔率
EV +0.126%
优势 +0.046%
Kelly +0.072%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.75

博彩公司预测分布
34.52%36.40%36.42%38.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.482.602.602.7540.32%38.41%38.46%36.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Seattle Mariners (主队):63.59%;San Francisco Giants (客队):36.41%。 对于“San Francisco Giants (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.747。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.750,对应+0.126%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.126%E +0.046%K +0.072%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 20:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV -0.238%E -0.087%K -0.137%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-19 19:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV -0.238%E -0.087%K -0.137%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-19 20:00
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV -0.602%E -0.221%K -0.348%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-19 20:05
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.76%EV -0.602%E -0.221%K -0.348%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 19:55
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.07%E -1.34%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -1.69%E -0.628%K -0.997%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-19 19:35
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.69%E -0.628%K -0.997%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 19:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.69%E -0.628%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 20:00
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.69%E -0.628%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 16:30
BetUS🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -2.42%E -0.904%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-19 13:35
BetAnything🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -2.42%E -0.904%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-19 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-19 20:05
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-19 20:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 13:35
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 15:50
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 20:05
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 15:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 15:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 15:50
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.88%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 13:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.88%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 20:09
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 20:10
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 19:59
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 20:09
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 19:40
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 19:40
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.43%E -5.85%K -19.16%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 17:45
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.07%E -1.34%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-19 19:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.07%E -1.34%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-19 19:45
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 20:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 20:00
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 14:40
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:58
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 19:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 20:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -5.70%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 20:05
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:45
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 19:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 19:45
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:45
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:45
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:45
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:45
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 20:05
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 20:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 20:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 20:05
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.43%E -0.926%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-19 20:09
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 19:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 20:05
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 19:59
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 20:00
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.07%E -1.34%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -9.70%E -3.91%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 20:10
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.07%E -1.34%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -9.70%E -3.91%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 20:09
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-07-19 20:10
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-07-19 19:45
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-07-19 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-07-19 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-07-19 20:05
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.2%2026-07-19 20:10
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.2%2026-07-19 20:05
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-07-19 20:10
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%2.2%2026-07-19 20:10
BetOpenly1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%2.7%2026-07-19 20:05