L’École des cotes

Seattle Mariners v San Francisco Giants

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-19 20:11 UTC

Score final : Seattle Mariners 6–3 San Francisco Giants

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prévision 63.59%1.57cote équitable
EV -1.43%
Avantage -0.926%
Kelly -2.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.69%63.60%63.58%65.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.511.511.5569.44%66.43%66.23%64.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Francisco Giants (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.41%2.75cote équitable
EV +0.126%
Avantage +0.046%
Kelly +0.072%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.52%36.40%36.42%38.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.482.602.602.7540.32%38.41%38.46%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.126%E +0.046%K +0.072%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 20:10
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV -0.238%E -0.087%K -0.137%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-19 19:55
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV -0.238%E -0.087%K -0.137%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-19 20:00
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV -0.602%E -0.221%K -0.348%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-19 20:05
GTbets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.76%EV -0.602%E -0.221%K -0.348%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 19:55
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.07%E -1.34%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -1.69%E -0.628%K -0.997%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-19 19:35
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.69%E -0.628%K -0.997%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 19:40
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.69%E -0.628%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 20:00
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.69%E -0.628%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 16:30
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -2.42%E -0.904%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-19 13:35
BetAnything1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -2.42%E -0.904%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-19 20:00
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-19 20:05
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-19 20:00
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 13:35
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 15:50
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 20:05
888sport1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 15:50
Mr Green (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 15:50
888sport (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 15:50
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.88%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 13:50
MyBookie.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.88%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 20:09
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 20:10
Caesars1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 19:59
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 20:09
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 19:40
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 19:40
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.43%E -5.85%K -19.16%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 17:45
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.07%E -1.34%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-19 19:45
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.07%E -1.34%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-19 19:45
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 20:05
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 20:00
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 14:40
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:58
Dabble (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 19:10
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 20:05
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -5.70%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 20:05
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:40
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:45
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:45
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 19:40
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 19:45
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 19:45
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:45
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:45
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:45
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:45
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:45
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:45
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 20:05
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 20:09
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 20:04
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 20:05
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.43%E -0.926%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-19 20:09
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 19:45
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 20:05
betano_uk1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 19:59
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 20:00
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.07%E -1.34%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -9.70%E -3.91%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 20:10
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.07%E -1.34%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -9.70%E -3.91%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 20:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-07-19 20:10
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-07-19 19:45
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-07-19 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-07-19 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-07-19 20:05
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.2%2026-07-19 20:10
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.2%2026-07-19 20:05
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-07-19 20:10
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%2.2%2026-07-19 20:10
BetOpenly1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%2.7%2026-07-19 20:05