La escuela de los momios

Seattle Mariners v San Francisco Giants

Inicio: 2026-07-19 20:11 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 6–3 San Francisco Giants

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Predicción 63.59%1.57momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.926%
Kelly -2.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.69%63.60%63.58%65.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.511.511.5569.44%66.43%66.23%64.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Francisco Giants (Visitante)

Predicción 36.41%2.75momio equitativo
EV +0.126%
Ventaja +0.046%
Kelly +0.072%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.52%36.40%36.42%38.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.482.602.602.7540.32%38.41%38.46%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.126%E +0.046%K +0.072%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 20:10
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV -0.238%E -0.087%K -0.137%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-19 19:55
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV -0.238%E -0.087%K -0.137%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-19 20:00
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV -0.602%E -0.221%K -0.348%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-19 20:05
GTbets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.76%EV -0.602%E -0.221%K -0.348%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 19:55
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.07%E -1.34%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -1.69%E -0.628%K -0.997%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-19 19:35
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.69%E -0.628%K -0.997%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 19:40
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.69%E -0.628%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 20:00
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.69%E -0.628%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 16:30
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -2.42%E -0.904%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-19 13:35
BetAnything1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -2.42%E -0.904%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-19 20:00
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-19 20:05
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-19 20:00
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 13:35
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 15:50
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 20:05
888sport1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 15:50
Mr Green (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 15:50
888sport (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 15:50
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.88%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 13:50
MyBookie.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.88%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 20:09
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 20:10
Caesars1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 19:59
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 20:09
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 19:40
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 19:40
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.43%E -5.85%K -19.16%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 17:45
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.07%E -1.34%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-19 19:45
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.07%E -1.34%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-19 19:45
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 20:05
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 20:00
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 14:40
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:58
Dabble (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 19:10
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 20:05
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -5.70%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 20:05
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:40
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:45
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:45
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 19:40
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 19:45
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 19:45
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:45
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:45
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:45
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:45
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:45
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:45
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 20:05
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 20:09
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 20:04
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 20:05
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.43%E -0.926%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-19 20:09
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 19:45
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 20:05
betano_uk1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 19:59
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 20:00
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.07%E -1.34%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -9.70%E -3.91%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 20:10
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.07%E -1.34%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -9.70%E -3.91%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 20:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-07-19 20:10
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-07-19 19:45
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-07-19 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-07-19 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-07-19 20:05
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.2%2026-07-19 20:10
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.2%2026-07-19 20:05
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-07-19 20:10
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%2.2%2026-07-19 20:10
BetOpenly1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%2.7%2026-07-19 20:05