La scuola delle quote

Seattle Mariners v San Francisco Giants

Inizio: 2026-07-19 20:11 UTC

Finale: Seattle Mariners 6–3 San Francisco Giants

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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62 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Seattle Mariners (Casa)

Previsione 63.59%1.57quota equa
EV -1.43%
Vantaggio -0.926%
Kelly -2.61%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.69%63.60%63.58%65.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.511.511.5569.44%66.43%66.23%64.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

San Francisco Giants (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.41%2.75quota equa
EV +0.126%
Vantaggio +0.046%
Kelly +0.072%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.52%36.40%36.42%38.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.482.602.602.7540.32%38.41%38.46%36.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.126%E +0.046%K +0.072%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 20:10
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV -0.238%E -0.087%K -0.137%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-19 19:55
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV -0.238%E -0.087%K -0.137%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-19 20:00
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV -0.602%E -0.221%K -0.348%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-19 20:05
GTbets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.76%EV -0.602%E -0.221%K -0.348%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 19:55
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.07%E -1.34%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -1.69%E -0.628%K -0.997%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-19 19:35
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.69%E -0.628%K -0.997%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-19 19:40
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.69%E -0.628%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 20:00
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.69%E -0.628%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 16:30
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -2.42%E -0.904%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-19 13:35
BetAnything1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -2.42%E -0.904%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-19 20:00
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-19 20:05
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-19 20:00
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 13:35
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 15:50
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 20:05
888sport1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 15:50
Mr Green (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 15:50
888sport (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.52%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 15:50
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.88%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 13:50
MyBookie.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.88%E -1.47%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 20:09
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 20:10
Caesars1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 19:59
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 20:09
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 19:40
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 19:40
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.43%E -5.85%K -19.16%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 17:45
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.07%E -1.34%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-19 19:45
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.07%E -1.34%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-19 19:45
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 20:05
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 20:00
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 14:40
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:58
Dabble (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 19:10
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 20:05
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -5.70%E -2.20%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 20:05
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:40
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:45
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 19:45
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 19:40
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 19:45
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 19:45
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:45
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:45
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:45
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:45
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:45
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 19:45
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 20:05
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 20:09
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 20:04
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 20:05
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.43%E -0.926%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-19 20:09
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 19:45
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.52%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 20:05
betano_uk1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 19:59
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.79%E -5.37%K -17.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 20:00
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.07%E -1.34%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -9.70%E -3.91%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 20:10
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.07%E -1.34%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -9.70%E -3.91%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 20:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-07-19 20:10
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-07-19 19:45
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-07-19 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-07-19 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-07-19 20:05
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.2%2026-07-19 20:10
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.2%2026-07-19 20:05
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-07-19 20:10
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%2.2%2026-07-19 20:10
BetOpenly1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%2.7%2026-07-19 20:05