Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Mariners v Minnesota Twins

2026-08-01 20:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prediction 59.87%1.67fair odd
EV -0.015%
Edge -0.009%
Kelly -0.023%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%59.89%59.98%61.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.591.601.6764.94%62.72%62.50%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Twins (Visit)

Prediction 40.13%2.49fair odd
EV +0.322%
Edge +0.129%
Kelly +0.215%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.71%40.11%40.02%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.372.382.5045.45%42.23%42.02%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Seattle Mariners (Local): 59.87%; Minnesota Twins (Visit): 40.13%. For Minnesota Twins (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.50, producing a positive expected value of +0.322%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -3.01%E -1.86%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV +0.322%E +0.129%K +0.215%G +0.001%1.7%2026-07-31 18:19
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -6.60%E -4.23%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -0.882%E -0.357%K -0.600%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 17:50
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.01%E -1.86%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.68%E -0.687%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 18:04
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.01%E -1.86%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.68%E -0.687%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 18:04
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.01%E -1.86%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.68%E -0.687%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 18:04
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -2.09%E -0.855%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-31 16:49
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.80%E -3.02%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.49%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 18:53
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -6.00%E -3.82%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -2.89%E -1.19%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.21%E -2.63%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-31 18:55
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.21%E -2.63%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-31 18:54
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.80%E -3.02%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 18:04
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.80%E -3.02%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 18:54
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.00%E -3.82%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 17:50
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.00%E -3.82%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 17:49
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.00%E -3.82%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 17:49
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.00%E -3.82%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 17:49
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -0.015%E -0.009%K -0.023%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-31 17:00
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.61%E -2.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 18:54
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.00%E -3.82%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 16:49
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.01%E -1.86%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.70%E -2.42%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.01%E -1.86%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.70%E -2.42%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:54
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.21%E -2.63%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.70%E -2.42%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:49
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.21%E -2.63%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.70%E -2.42%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 17:34
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.21%E -2.63%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.70%E -2.42%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:50
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.00%E -3.82%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.70%E -2.42%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 16:48
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.61%E -2.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.50%E -2.79%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 16:54
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.61%E -2.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.50%E -2.79%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 18:04
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -4.80%E -3.02%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.90%E -2.97%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 18:55
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.01%E -1.86%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 16:50
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.01%E -1.86%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 17:19
betano_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.00%E -3.82%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-31 18:50
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.00%E -3.82%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-31 18:49
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.00%E -3.82%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.71%E -4.32%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-31 16:54
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -7.80%E -5.06%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -11.72%E -5.33%K -9.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-31 18:50
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -7.80%E -5.06%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -11.72%E -5.33%K -9.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-31 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-31 16:50
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-07-31 17:20
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 59.04%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.96%10.0%2026-07-31 18:50
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 70.67%2.41I 41.49%NM 29.33%41.5%2026-07-31 19:20
Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.12%1xBet 1.67 (60.0%) / Hard Rock Bet 2.50 (40.0%)Show details
Seattle Mariners (Local)Minnesota Twins (Visit)Margin
1xBet 1.67 (60.0%)Hard Rock Bet 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%