Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners v Minnesota Twins

Início: 2026-08-01 20:11 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 4–3 Minnesota Twins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Previsão 60.24%1.66odd justa
EV -1.20%
Vantagem -0.731%
Kelly -1.87%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.44%59.98%60.25%62.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.521.591.591.6465.79%62.98%62.89%60.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Previsão 39.76%2.52odd justa
EV +0.581%
Vantagem +0.229%
Kelly +0.379%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.81%40.02%39.75%41.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.402.402.5344.44%41.69%41.67%39.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Seattle Mariners (Local): 60.24%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 39.76%. Para Minnesota Twins (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.52. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.53, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.581%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -3.61%E -2.26%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV +0.581%E +0.229%K +0.379%G +0.002%2.0%2026-08-01 20:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.40%E -1.48%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.612%E -0.245%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-01 14:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.43%E -5.54%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -0.612%E -0.245%K -0.408%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 20:04
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.40%E -1.48%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -1.41%E -0.567%K -0.951%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 17:45
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.01%E -1.87%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -1.41%E -0.567%K -0.951%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-01 16:55
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.40%E -1.48%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -1.80%E -0.731%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-01 20:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.01%E -1.87%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.80%E -0.731%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-01 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.01%E -1.87%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.80%E -0.731%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-01 16:55
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.80%E -1.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.20%E -0.895%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-01 06:04
BetAnything🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -3.61%E -2.26%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -2.20%E -0.895%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-01 20:04
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.01%E -1.87%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.60%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-01 19:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.01%E -1.87%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.60%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-01 19:55
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.01%E -1.87%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.60%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-01 14:34
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.60%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 17:34
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.60%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 18:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.61%E -2.26%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.39%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 19:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.61%E -2.26%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.39%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 19:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.39%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 17:30
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.39%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 17:00
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.79%E -1.57%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 19:25
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.79%E -1.57%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 19:19
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 19:59
DraftKings🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -4.81%E -3.05%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 19:49
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.61%E -2.26%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 14:34
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.61%E -2.26%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 14:35
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.61%E -2.26%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 17:00
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 19:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 18:04
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 14:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.81%E -3.05%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 19:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.81%E -3.05%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 19:55
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 11:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 11:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 11:30
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 19:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 19:55
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 19:54
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 19:55
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 19:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 19:55
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 19:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 07:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.40%E -1.48%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.38%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 07:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.81%E -3.05%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.38%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:04
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.38%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 11:34
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.38%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 12:45
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.83%E -5.11%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.38%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 17:44
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.81%E -3.05%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.78%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 17:00
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.81%E -3.05%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.78%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 16:54
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.40%E -1.48%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 14:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.40%E -1.48%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 14:34
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.01%E -1.87%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 20:10
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.61%E -2.26%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 19:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 20:00
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 20:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -1.20%E -0.731%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -7.37%E -3.16%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 20:10
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -7.83%E -5.11%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -7.77%E -3.35%K -5.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 19:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.00%EV -7.22%E -4.69%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.00%EV -8.17%E -3.53%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 19:41
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.40%E -1.48%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:10
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.01%E -1.87%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 20:10
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.61%E -2.26%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.55%E -4.69%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 20:09
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.61%E -2.26%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.55%E -4.69%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 20:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.61%E -2.26%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.55%E -4.69%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 20:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.62%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.38%-0.0%2026-08-01 20:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-08-01 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-08-01 20:10
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-01 03:44
Polymarket◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-01 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-01 19:50
ProphetX◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-08-01 20:05
Novig◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%1.5%2026-08-01 20:10
Matchbook◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.7%2026-08-01 20:10
Smarkets◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-08-01 20:10