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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Seattle Mariners v Minnesota Twins

2026-08-01 20:11 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Seattle Mariners (主队)

预测 60.23%1.66公平赔率
EV +0.589%
优势 +0.353%
Kelly +0.879%
增长率 +0.005%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布
58.67%60.29%60.17%61.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.591.591.6766.67%63.04%62.89%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

Minnesota Twins (客队)

预测 39.77%2.51公平赔率
EV -0.583%
优势 -0.233%
Kelly -0.388%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.50

博彩公司预测分布
38.71%39.71%39.83%41.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.392.402.5044.44%41.89%41.67%40.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Seattle Mariners (主队)：60.23%；Minnesota Twins (客队)：39.77%。 对于“Seattle Mariners (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.66。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为1.67，由此产生+0.589%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV +0.589%E +0.353%K +0.879%G +0.005%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -5.35%E -2.25%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-31 17:00
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -1.22%E -0.743%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -2.97%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-31 16:49
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.583%E -0.233%K -0.388%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-31 18:19
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.57%E -1.05%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 18:04
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.57%E -1.05%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 18:04
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.57%E -1.05%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 18:04
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:54
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 16:50
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.42%E -1.50%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 17:19
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.02%E -1.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.35%E -2.25%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 18:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.56%E -1.90%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-31 18:55
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.56%E -1.90%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-31 18:54
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 17:34
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.23%E -2.66%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.37%E -1.39%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 18:53
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.23%E -2.66%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.56%E -1.90%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 18:04
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.23%E -2.66%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.56%E -1.90%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 18:54
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -4.23%E -2.66%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -7.74%E -3.34%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 18:55
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.83%E -3.06%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.75%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 20:04
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.83%E -3.06%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.75%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 20:04
Unibet (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.43%E -3.46%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.57%E -1.05%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-31 20:04
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.43%E -3.46%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.76%E -1.56%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 17:49
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.43%E -3.46%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.56%E -1.90%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 17:50
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.43%E -3.46%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.56%E -1.90%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 17:49
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.43%E -3.46%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.56%E -1.90%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 17:49
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.43%E -3.46%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.56%E -1.90%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 17:49
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.43%E -3.46%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.35%E -2.25%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 16:49
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.43%E -3.46%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 16:48
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -1.78%E -0.719%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 17:50
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.56%E -1.90%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 20:04
betano_uk1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.64%E -4.28%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.56%E -1.90%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 20:04
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.64%E -4.28%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.56%E -1.90%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 20:04
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.84%E -5.13%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 20:04
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -9.05%E -5.99%K -17.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-31 20:04
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.65%E -6.43%K -19.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.52%E -4.68%K -8.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-31 20:05
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-31 16:50
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-07-31 17:20
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-07-31 20:04
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 60.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%10.1%2026-07-31 20:05
套利（1 种组合） +0.12%1xBet 1.67 (60.0%) / Hard Rock Bet 2.50 (40.0%)显示详情
Seattle Mariners (主队)Minnesota Twins (客队)利润率
1xBet 1.67 (60.0%)Hard Rock Bet 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%