Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Seattle Mariners v Minnesota Twins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-01 20:11 UTC

Score final : Seattle Mariners 4–3 Minnesota Twins

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prévision 60.24%1.66cote équitable
EV -1.20%
Avantage -0.731%
Kelly -1.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.44%59.98%60.25%62.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.521.591.591.6465.79%62.98%62.89%60.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Minnesota Twins (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.76%2.52cote équitable
EV +0.581%
Avantage +0.229%
Kelly +0.379%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.81%40.02%39.75%41.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.402.402.5344.44%41.69%41.67%39.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Seattle Mariners (Local) : 60.24% ; Minnesota Twins (Visiteur) : 39.76%. Pour Minnesota Twins (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.52. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.53, soit une espérance positive de +0.581%.

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -3.61%E -2.26%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV +0.581%E +0.229%K +0.379%G +0.002%2.0%2026-08-01 20:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.40%E -1.48%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.612%E -0.245%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-01 14:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.43%E -5.54%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -0.612%E -0.245%K -0.408%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 20:04
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.40%E -1.48%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -1.41%E -0.567%K -0.951%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 17:45
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.01%E -1.87%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -1.41%E -0.567%K -0.951%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-01 16:55
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.40%E -1.48%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -1.80%E -0.731%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-01 20:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.01%E -1.87%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.80%E -0.731%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-01 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.01%E -1.87%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.80%E -0.731%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-01 16:55
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.80%E -1.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.20%E -0.895%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-01 06:04
BetAnything🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -3.61%E -2.26%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -2.20%E -0.895%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-01 20:04
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.01%E -1.87%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.60%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-01 19:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.01%E -1.87%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.60%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-01 19:55
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.01%E -1.87%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.60%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-01 14:34
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.60%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 17:34
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.60%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 18:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.61%E -2.26%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.39%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 19:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.61%E -2.26%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.39%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 19:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.39%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 17:30
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.39%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 17:00
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.79%E -1.57%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 19:25
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.79%E -1.57%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 19:19
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 19:59
DraftKings🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -4.81%E -3.05%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 19:49
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.61%E -2.26%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 14:34
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.61%E -2.26%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 14:35
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.61%E -2.26%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 17:00
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 19:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 18:04
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 14:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.81%E -3.05%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 19:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.81%E -3.05%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 19:55
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 11:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 11:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 11:30
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 19:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 19:55
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 19:54
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 19:55
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 19:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 19:55
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 19:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 07:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.40%E -1.48%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.38%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 07:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.81%E -3.05%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.38%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 06:04
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.38%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 11:34
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.38%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 12:45
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.83%E -5.11%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.38%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 17:44
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.81%E -3.05%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.78%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 17:00
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.81%E -3.05%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.78%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 16:54
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.40%E -1.48%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 14:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.40%E -1.48%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 14:34
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.01%E -1.87%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 20:10
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.61%E -2.26%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 19:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 20:00
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 20:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -1.20%E -0.731%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -7.37%E -3.16%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 20:10
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -7.83%E -5.11%K -14.76%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -7.77%E -3.35%K -5.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 19:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.00%EV -7.22%E -4.69%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.00%EV -8.17%E -3.53%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 19:41
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.40%E -1.48%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:10
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.01%E -1.87%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 20:10
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.61%E -2.26%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.55%E -4.69%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 20:09
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.61%E -2.26%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.55%E -4.69%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 20:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.61%E -2.26%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.55%E -4.69%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 20:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.62%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.38%-0.0%2026-08-01 20:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-08-01 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-08-01 20:10
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-01 03:44
Polymarket◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-01 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-01 19:50
ProphetX◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-08-01 20:05
Novig◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%1.5%2026-08-01 20:10
Matchbook◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.7%2026-08-01 20:10
Smarkets◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-08-01 20:10