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Seattle Mariners v Minnesota Twins
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Seattle Mariners (Local)
Predicción 60.24%1.66momio equitativo
EV -1.20%
Ventaja -0.731%
Kelly -1.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.44%59.98%60.25%62.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.521.591.591.6465.79%62.98%62.89%60.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Minnesota Twins (Visitante)
Predicción 39.76%2.52momio equitativo
EV +0.581%
Ventaja +0.229%
Kelly +0.379%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.81%40.02%39.75%41.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.402.402.5344.44%41.69%41.67%39.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Seattle Mariners (Local): 60.24%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 39.76%. Para Minnesota Twins (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.52. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.53, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.581%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -3.61%E -2.26%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV +0.581%E +0.229%K +0.379%G +0.002% | 2.0% | 2026-08-01 20:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.40%E -1.48%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.612%E -0.245%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-01 14:19 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.43%E -5.54%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -0.612%E -0.245%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 20:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.40%E -1.48%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -1.41%E -0.567%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-01 17:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.01%E -1.87%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -1.41%E -0.567%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-01 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.40%E -1.48%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -1.80%E -0.731%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-01 20:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.01%E -1.87%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.80%E -0.731%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-01 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.01%E -1.87%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.80%E -0.731%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-01 16:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.80%E -1.10%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.20%E -0.895%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-01 06:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -3.61%E -2.26%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -2.20%E -0.895%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-01 20:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.01%E -1.87%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.60%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-01 19:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.01%E -1.87%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.60%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-01 19:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.01%E -1.87%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.60%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-01 14:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.60%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-01 17:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.60%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-01 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.61%E -2.26%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.39%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-01 19:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.61%E -2.26%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.39%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-01 19:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.39%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-01 17:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.39%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-01 17:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.79%E -1.57%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 19:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.79%E -1.57%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 19:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-01 19:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -4.81%E -3.05%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 19:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.61%E -2.26%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 14:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.61%E -2.26%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 14:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.61%E -2.26%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 17:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-01 19:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-31 18:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.21%E -2.65%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-01 14:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.81%E -3.05%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 19:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.81%E -3.05%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 19:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 11:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 11:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 11:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 19:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 19:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 19:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 19:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 19:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 19:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 19:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 07:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.40%E -1.48%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.38%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-01 07:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.81%E -3.05%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.38%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 06:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.38%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 11:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.38%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 12:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.83%E -5.11%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.38%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 17:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.81%E -3.05%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.78%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.81%E -3.05%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.78%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 16:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.40%E -1.48%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 14:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.40%E -1.48%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 14:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.01%E -1.87%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.61%E -2.26%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 19:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.42%E -3.45%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 20:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.62%E -4.27%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -1.20%E -0.731%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -7.37%E -3.16%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -7.83%E -5.11%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -7.77%E -3.35%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-01 19:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.00%EV -7.22%E -4.69%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.00%EV -8.17%E -3.53%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 19:41 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.40%E -1.48%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.01%E -1.87%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.61%E -2.26%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.55%E -4.69%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 20:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.61%E -2.26%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.55%E -4.69%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 20:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.61%E -2.26%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.55%E -4.69%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.62% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.38% | -0.0% | 2026-08-01 20:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 03:44 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 19:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 20:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90% | 1.5% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66% | 1.7% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-08-01 20:10 |