The School of Odds
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Seattle Mariners v Detroit Tigers

2026-08-06 01:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prediction 57.17%1.75fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -3.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.99%57.17%57.14%57.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.671.671.7162.50%59.89%59.88%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 42.83%2.33fair odd
EV -0.214%
Edge -0.092%
Kelly -0.161%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.04%42.83%42.86%44.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.222.222.3348.78%44.97%45.05%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Seattle Mariners (Local): 57.17%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 42.83%. For Detroit Tigers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.335. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.330, with an expected value of -0.214%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.23%E -1.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.50%E -0.652%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-05 00:14
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.23%E -1.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.50%E -0.652%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-05 01:20
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.81%E -1.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.07%E -0.463%K -0.817%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-05 00:24
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.38%E -2.00%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.214%E -0.092%K -0.161%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-05 01:09
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.38%E -2.00%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.07%E -0.463%K -0.817%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 00:25
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.38%E -2.00%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.07%E -0.463%K -0.817%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 01:10
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.38%E -2.00%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.07%E -0.463%K -0.817%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-05 01:09
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.38%E -2.00%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 20:49
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.38%E -2.00%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 23:05
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.38%E -2.00%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 00:09
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.07%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 20:45
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.07%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 01:25
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.50%E -2.02%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 21:40
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 21:00
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -4.07%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 01:29
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.92%E -2.22%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 00:29
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.92%E -2.22%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:54
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:55
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:54
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:54
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:54
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.09%E -3.07%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 00:29
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.09%E -3.07%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -6.21%E -2.84%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 00:27
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.07%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 00:35
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 20:43
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 20:44
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 00:28
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 01:23
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.38%E -4.55%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 00:30
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -7.95%E -4.94%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-04 20:49
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -8.52%E -5.33%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -12.21%E -5.95%K -11.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-04 20:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-08-05 01:40
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-04 22:05
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-05 00:05
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%7.6%2026-08-05 01:35